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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 27, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.69 |
-109 
|
o8.0 -118 
|
-1.5 +155 
|
|
4.14 |
-104 
|
u8.5 -117
|
+1.5 -176 
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Manaeas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Manaeas last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Manaeas last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Washington
- Under is 4-0 in Herzs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Herzs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Herzs last 4 home starts.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+115
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
4.22 |
-130
|
u7.5 -108
|
-1.5 +160
|
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games following a loss.
- Under is 7-1 in Bazs last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
- Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
o0.5+265
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.50 |
-260
|
o7.5 -125 
|
-2.0 -122
|
|
2.97 |
+220 
|
u8.5 -139
|
+2.0 +100
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-3 in Dodgers last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.43 |
-165
|
o9.0 -125
|
-1.5 -105 
|
|
5.50 |
+150
|
u9.5 -109
|
+1.5 -105
|
Houston
- Over is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
o0.5+211
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+132
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -157
|
|
4.66 |
-145
|
u7.5 -129
|
-1.5 +154
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Under is 3-0-1 in Walkers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 5-1 in Walkers last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
o0.5+199
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.15 |
-124
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +142
|
|
4.42 |
+106
|
u7.5 -104
|
+1.5 -164
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+150
|
o8.5 -113
|
+1.5 -127
|
|
4.48 |
-165
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +125
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 road starts.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Reds last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)
o0.5+330
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
-126
|
o7.5 -118
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.16 |
+111
|
u8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -150
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in Jones' last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Jones' last 4 road starts.
- Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games following a win.
- Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+256)
o0.5+256
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.66 |
-145
|
o8.5 -108
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.83 |
+125
|
u8.5 -108
|
+1.5 -135
|
Cleveland
- Over is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
Kansas City
- Over is 7-0 in Royals last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Lynch IVs last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
-126
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.88 |
+115
|
u8.0 -112
|
+1.5 -160
|
Arizona
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sorokas last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
San Diego
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
o1.5+130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.29 |
+160
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
3.80 |
-180
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +125
|
LA Angels
- Over is 7-0 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-0 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+400)
o0.5+400
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
-108
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.43 |
-107
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -177
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games as a road underdog.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 8-2 in Marlins last 10 home games.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+194)
o0.5+194
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+180
|
o8.5 -104
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
4.50 |
-196
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +105
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Freelands last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Rockies last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in Kays last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Kays last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+220)
u0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.24 |
+210
|
o6.5 -132
|
+1.5 -108
|
|
4.32 |
-230
|
u7.5 -144
|
-1.5 +100
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts as an underdog.
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-0-1 in Misiorowskis last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+400)
o0.5+400
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.28 |
-122
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +136
|
|
3.97 |
+106
|
u8.5 -113
|
+1.5 -148
|
Texas
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 11-0 in Rangers last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Rangers last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Danny Jansen o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
NYM
@
WAS
Sun, Sep 27 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Juan Soto o1.5 Total RBIs (+380)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park.. Over the past 14 days, Juan Soto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph lately.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 14.2% to 17.6%.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against DJ Herz in today's game.. Francisco Lindor has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure.
BAL
@
NYY
Sun, Sep 27 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Christian Franklin o1.5 Total Bases (+300)
Projection 0.97
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium grades out as the #10 field in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-most humid conditions of the day at 91%.. Christian Franklin has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The 5th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Yankee Stadium.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for pitchers.. The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team playing today.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson today.. Gunnar Henderson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the last week.
LAD
@
SF
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+138)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Given Duncan Davitt's large platoon split, Shohei Ohtani will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Shohei Ohtani has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 16.7% seasonal rate to 66.7% in the past week's worth of games.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.06
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest right field fences in the league are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.. Given Duncan Davitt's large platoon split, Shohei Ohtani will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.
HOU
@
ATH
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jonah Heim o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest fences in the league.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest fences in the league.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 84°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
TB
@
PHI
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryan De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Bryan De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge today.
CIN
@
TOR
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:07 PM ET
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The #6 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. George Springer will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Williamson today.. George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hurlers.. Hitting from the same side that Max Scherzer throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have a disadvantage today.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Stephenson today.
PIT
@
DET
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Comerica Park has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Dillon Dingler o1.5 Total Bases (+167)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Comerica Park has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Dillon Dingler will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
CLE
@
KC
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Bobby Witt Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Parker Messick in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Isaac Collins o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-most humidity on the slate today at 83%.. The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Parker Messick.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
AZ
@
SD
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Soroka o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Projection 5.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Michael Soroka in the 80th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.. Michael Soroka will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters in today's game.. In his previous GS, Michael Soroka was rolling and accumulated 10 strikeouts.. Michael Soroka's higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this season (57.5% vs. 45% last year) figures to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Pavin Smith o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+225)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge in today's game.. Pavin Smith has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.. Pavin Smith has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.3-mph figure.
LAA
@
SEA
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+330)
Projection 1.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Josh Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup.. Josh Lowe has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
Strikeouts Thrown
Yusei Kikuchi o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-150)
Projection 6.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tyler Heineman, the Angels's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-best field in the league for strikeouts.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for pitching on the schedule today.
ATL
@
MIA
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst park in the majors for left-handed batting average.. The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Olson today.
Total RBIs
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+249)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 118° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage today.. Mike Yastrzemski has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 96.8-mph in the last week.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mike Yastrzemski's true offensive skill to be a .318, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .010 difference between that figure and his actual .308 wOBA.
COL
@
CHW
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Brenton Doyle u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.. When starting against a southpaw this year, Brenton Doyle has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 39% of the time.. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 14.6% to 7%.. With a 6.11 K/BB rate this year, Brenton Doyle has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 17th percentile.
Strikeouts Thrown
Anthony Kay o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-152)
Projection 4.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Colorado Rockies have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Hunter Goodman, Ezequiel Tovar, Jordan Beck).. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Anthony Kay will hold that advantage today.. Anthony Kay's 95.3-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 83rd percentile among all starting pitchers.. Anthony Kay's high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (60.3% this year) ought to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
STL
@
MIL
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+232)
Projection 1.3
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+278)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the league for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
TEX
@
MIN
Sun, Sep 27 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, putting up a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .011 discrepancy.. Using Statcast data, Jake Burger grades out in the 79th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.900.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Wyatt Langford has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last two weeks.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
