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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 26, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
-108 
|
o8.5 -103 
|
-1.5 +150 
|
|
4.44 |
-105 
|
u8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -155 
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Mets last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+102
|
o8.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.17 |
-109
|
u9.0 -114
|
-1.5 +159
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.99 |
+145
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -143
|
|
4.40 |
-159
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +136
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on astroturf.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Matt McLain o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
o0.5+1050
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.36 |
-275
|
o7.5 +103
|
-2.0 -128
|
|
2.61 |
+270
|
u7.5 -117
|
+2.0 -101
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.66 |
-115
|
o8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.39 |
+110
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -155
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts overall.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
-122 
|
o7.5 -124
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.78 |
+110 
|
u8.5 -139
|
+1.5 -157
|
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1-3 in Rangers last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games.
- Twins are 7-0 in Obers last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
o1.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
-112
|
o8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.71 |
+105
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -157
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0 in Royals last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+205
|
o7.5 -139
|
+1.5 +102
|
|
4.70 |
-230
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 -110
|
Colorado
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 games as an underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
+160
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.15 |
-155
|
u7.5 -102
|
-1.5 +140
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 6-1 in Mays last 7 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Dustin May o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-156)
o2.5-125
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
-105
|
o6.5 -135
|
-1.5 +175
|
|
4.24 |
-105
|
u7.0 -112
|
+1.5 -188
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)
o0.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
+110
|
o7.5 -108
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.13 |
-120
|
u7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +160
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
San Diego
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Jordan Lawlar o0.5 Total RBIs (+328)
o0.5+328
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.88 |
-154
|
o9.5 +100
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
5.38 |
+140
|
u10.0 -118
|
+1.5 -120
|
Houston
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)
o1.5-110
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.11 |
+141
|
o7.0 -119
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.46 |
-155
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
LA Angels
- Over is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 on grass.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 21-6-1 in Mariners last 28 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total RBIs (+390)
o0.5+390
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.66 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.83 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0 in Manaeas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Herzs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Herzs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.56 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Under is 3-0-1 in Walkers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 5-1 in Walkers last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.66 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on astroturf.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Reds last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.43 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.10 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.
- Under is 11-2-1 in Braves last 14 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Junks last 6 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.97 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 road games.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Freelands last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in Kays last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Kays last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.93 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
NYM
@
WAS
Sat, Sep 26 • 12:35 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jonah Tong o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-107)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to -120. Jonah Tong continues to generate plenty of swings and misses, posting 9.28 K/9 across his last two appearances while clearing this number in three straight starts. Washington isn't an extreme strikeout matchup, but Tong only needs five punchouts, making this a manageable number at close to even money.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 field in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connelly Early today.
PIT
@
DET
Sat, Sep 26 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total Home Runs (+465)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Riley Greene is mashing right now with a .333 average, .617 SLG, and five homers in September.
The Tigers outfielder sits in the 95th percentile in xSLG and 96th percentile in barrel % this season – a testament to his power and ability to square up the baseball.
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
CIN
@
TOR
Sat, Sep 26 • 3:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+375)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Brett Bateman o1.5 Total Bases (+102)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
LAD
@
SF
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+381)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Teoscar Hernandez posted a .400 average with a .325 ISO and 26.5% barrel rate vs. lefties over the last 30 games. Those numbers put him in the elite of the elite.
Matt Wilkinson throws fastballs nearly 60% of the time facing righties. That plays directly into the hands of Hernandez, who is sporting a .450 ISO and nearly 65% hard hit rate vs. fastballs the past 30.
Total
u7.5 (-114)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I like the Under to 55%.
The San Francisco Giants rank 24th in hard hit percentage, 26th in xSLG, and have struck out nearly 25% of the time against southpaws in September.
While the Los Angeles Dodgers still want to stay sharp, this game doesn’t carry any weight. The conditions are also favorable to pitchers at Oracle Park.
I project a 5-1 type of game, which would check both boxes.
ATL
@
MIA
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Joe Mack u1.5 Total Bases (-310)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Joe Mack's batting average talent is projected to be in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joe Mack is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league parks.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.
Total RBIs
Deyvison De Los Santos o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
Projection 0.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. The weather report projects the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the same side that Brent Suter throws from, Deyvison De Los Santos will not have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Deyvison De Los Santos will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
TEX
@
MIN
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Target Field ranks as the #9 park in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Power-wise, Jake Burger has performed in the 86th percentile, having hit 28.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total Bases
Elias Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Target Field ranks as the #9 park in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
CLE
@
KC
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total Home Runs (+434)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Vinnie Pasquantino is hammering Tanner Bibee’s pitch mix, hitting .303 with a .242 ISO and 53.6% hard hit rate over the last 25 games when facing right-handed fastballs, cutters, and changeups.
Those are Bibee’s most used pitches, and account for well over 70% of what he throws to lefties.
Pasquantino has a shockingly good track record against Bibee. He is 11-18 with 10 hard hit balls and five extra base hits, two of which went the distance.
Total
u8.5 (-119)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Under is playable to 55%.
Tanner Bibee has pitched well against Kansas City this season, posting a 3.48 xERA – nearly a full run below his season output of 4.46.
Michael Wacha is an innings eater who held the Guardians to three runs over 23 innings this season. He’ll likely pitch deep into this one, giving the Guardians less time to produce against the Royals’ underwhelming bullpen.
COL
@
CHW
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total Home Runs (+337)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
Vargas has been Chicago's hottest power hitter, with an OPS+ nearly two and a half times league average over the past week. He also has hit lefthanders better than righties and should have a chance to take Quintana out.
Total
o8.5 (-101)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
Colorado starter Jose Quintana has battled elbow trouble and has one of the slowest fastballs in MLB. Chicago has been scoring runs and Colorado allowing them lately. The Rockies also match up well with Sox starter Davis Martin.
STL
@
MIL
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 16%. Ivan Herrera has shown serious pop lately, homering three times in his last six games while carrying a .417 ISO. His 23.1% barrel rate and 46.2% fly-ball rate add to the appeal against Dustin May, who has allowed 1.96 HR/9 across his last five outings.
Total Bases
Garrett Mitchell u1.5 Total Bases (-275)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Quinn Mathews will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Mitchell in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.. Checking in at the 21st percentile for power, Garrett Mitchell has averaged 11.9 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
TB
@
PHI
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in MLB.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jonathan Aranda's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against José Urquidy in today's game.. Jonathan Aranda has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
AZ
@
SD
Sat, Sep 26 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 20%. Nolan Arenado is locked in at the plate, going deep four times over his last six games while posting a .520 ISO. Walker Buehler has allowed 2.28 HR/9 over the last month, and Arenado has already taken him deep twice in his career.
Moneyline
AZ (+106)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Arizona has rattled off five straight wins to stay alive in the wild-card race and gives the ball to Corbin Burnes in a must-win game. San Diego has already punched their postseason ticket, while the Diamondbacks offense has caught fire over the last fortnight (128 wRC+, .500 SLG, 3.49 bullpen SIERA). Getting Burnes backed by high urgency against Walker Buehler provides the premier late-game value on the board.
HOU
@
ATH
Sat, Sep 26 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 2.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 park in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 87°.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best park in the league for lefty home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.8-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.
LAA
@
SEA
Sat, Sep 26 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 20%. Randy Arozarena’s recent contact profile points to more power, with a 57.1% hard-hit rate and 14.3% barrel rate over the last week. Ryan Johnson has allowed 1.79 HR/9 on the road, while the Angels’ bullpen has also been vulnerable to the long ball.
Total Hits
Dominic Canzone u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 venue in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
