Germany vs Scotland Odds, Picks & Predictions: Wirtz to Outscore Opposition on Day 1 of Euro 2024

Germany faces a classic mismatch on the opening day of Euro 2024 as the host nation takes on Scotland. Find out how to take advantage of this David vs. Goliath struggle before the action begins.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Jun 14, 2024 • 11:45 ET • 4 min read
Florian Wirtz Germany Euro 2024
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The wait is finally over! The opening match of Euro 2024 has arrived and our Germany vs. Scotland picks are the best place to get started ahead of game time.

The hosts come into this dreaming of lifting the Henri Delaunay Cup in a month's time, while Scotland are simply hoping they find a way to escape Group A. Let's get the party started with our Euro 2024 picks for Friday, June 14.

Germany vs Scotland picks, predictions, and betting tips

My best bet:
Germany -1 (-125 at Betano)

My analysis
Scotland's "reward" for reaching Euro 2024 is a brutal opening match against the host nation in front of a highly partisan sold-out crowd at Allianz Arena. The Tartan Army will certainly do their best to cheer their team to a result, but it’s going to be hard for them to break down Germany, which enters the tournament with solid +550 odds.

It's been nearly nine years since these teams last met in a match which Germany won. It hasn't been much better historically, as Scotland has won just four of the 17 meetings overall. That trend is unlikely to change here, and we should see Germany win by multiple goals.

Scott McTominay led Scotland’s goalscoring in qualifying, which in many ways is their biggest problem. Scoring seven goals was an incredible return, but it’s not one which he can be expected to continue. With Lyndon Dykes injured and Steve Clarke refusing to call up Plymouth Argyle’s Ryan Hardie, it leaves limited striking options. Che Adams will get the start, but with just six goals in 30 games, it seems unlikely he can propel Scotland to a win today.

Germany may not have a world-class striker, but Niclas Fullkrug is more than capable. Likewise, Kai Havertz, has the movement and understanding of space to link up excellently with Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz, who are expected to be deployed behind the frontman.

Home advantage and a more talented roster should be enough to get Germany a relatively straightforward win here, and with the likes of Leroy Sane starting from the bench, they should have the players to change the game if Scotland can hold them off early. 

Take Germany -1 on the spread, as they have better options in every area of the field. They have pace and guile in attack, as well as a superior defense to keep Scotland’s uninspired attack at bay.

Florian Wirtz odds, prop for today

My best bet:
Florian Wirtz to outscore opposition (+350 at Betano)

My analysis:

Florian Wirtz may not be a household name to global audiences yet, but that should change after this tournament, as the 21-year-old is poised to be a key member of Germany’s Euro 2024 campaign.

Granted, Wirtz has only scored once in his 18 international appearances, but he’s just now grown into a starter for his country and Julian Nagelsmann has built this team around him and Jamal Musiala.

Wirtz has 14 goals this season for Bayer Leverkusen in domestic play (between the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal), as well as another four in European competitions, so he's clearly in fine form and able to find the back of the net.

This will be a tough game for Scotland, who are vastly outclassed, so a solitary Wirtz marker should be enough to outscore the opposition today.

Germany vs Scotland same-game parlay (SGP)

Germany -1

First half result — Draw

Under 3.5

In addition to our best bet, we’re also going to back the score to be tied at halftime as both squads are often more conservative early in games. The scores were level at halftime in three of their four games against Spain and Norway before those opened up in the second half. That’s a trend that should continue here.

If there’s a low-scoring first half, it stands to reason that we’ll see Under 3.5 goals in the whole game. Scotland will try to keep scores tight to start and there’s a high chance Germany might take some time to get going when you consider the pressure they’re under as the host nation.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Germany vs Scotland odds

Germany Scotland
-312 Moneyline +1,000
Over 2.5 (-143) Total Under 2.5 (+115)
+470 Draw +470

Odds courtesy of Betano on 6-14.

Germany vs Scotland game info

Location: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
Date: Friday, June 14, 2024
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
Weather: Temperatures in the mid-60s with showers.

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