Here’s a trio of NHL player props to cover you throughout the 12-game docket Thursday, Oct. 22.
New York Rangers winger Pavel Dorofeyev leads off my favorite NHL picks, with Utah Mammoth rising star Dylan Guenther and Detroit Red Wings center Emmitt Finnie bringing the betting card home in the pair of nightcaps.
Today's best NHL player prop picks
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Dylan Guenther 3+ SOG
Emmitt Finnie 1+ points
Pavel Dorofeyev 1+ goalsPercentages courtesy of Novig, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Prop pick #1: Dylan Guenther 3+ shots on goal
Utah Mammoth winger Dylan Guenther has converted a team-high 29 attempts into just eight shots on goal (27.6%) over the past four games, after posting a 47.8% conversion rate to start the season.
Guenther also finished eighth in shots per 60 minutes last year, and the Mammoth land in a perfect matchup for him to pile up SOG tonight. The Seattle Kraken have allowed the third-most shots per game and rank 29th in Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5, so I recommend this prop up to 56%.
- Matchup: Mammoth vs. Kraken
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
- TV: ESPN+, Sportsnet+
Prop pick #2: Emmitt Finnie 1+ points
Detroit Red Wings center Emmitt Finnie is centering a sneaky line with Alex DeBrincat and Michael Brandsegg-Nygard. The trio has clicked for a rock-solid 6.08 goals per 60 minutes with a 58.8 CF% and 60.1 expected goals percentage at 5-on-5, and Finnie has hit the scoresheet in three of his past four games for five total points while averaging 19:10 of ice time per night.
This is also a soft matchup. The Vancouver Canucks have surrendered the most goals per game and the most expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5.
Finnie to find the scoresheet is in play up to 51%.
- Matchup: Red Wings vs. Canucks
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, B.C.
- TV: ESPN+, Sportsnet+
Goal scorer pick: Pavel Dorofeyev
The goals are coming for New York Rangers winger Pavel Dorofeyev. After scoring 72 goals at a 14.9% shooting percentage over the past two years, the go-to Russian has found the back of the net just twice on a 5.7 SH% through 11 games.
Dorofeyev has generated a team-high 5.35 expected goals, 35 shots, and 73 shot attempts, and he’s clicked with center J.T. Miller for an elite 59.0 CF% and 66.9 xGF% at 5-on-5.
Feel confident backing Dorofeyev to score up to 37%.
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Maple Leafs
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
- TV: MSG, TSN4
- Prop picks: 14-12, +6.84 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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