Friday’s NHL nightcap features a Pacific Division tilt between the Edmonton Oilers and the Anaheim Ducks. NHL odds have Edmonton as a large road favorite while the total sits at 6.5 across the board.
The Oilers have dominated this matchup over the past couple of seasons, winning seven of the past eight meetings. All seven of those wins came by at least a two-goal differential.
Will this trend continue, or can Anaheim keep things close? Find out in my free NHL picks for Oilers vs. Ducks on Friday, February 9.
Oilers vs Ducks odds
Oilers vs Ducks predictions
These two teams are simply operating at completely different levels entering Friday’s matchup. The Edmonton Oilers have won 16 of their past 17 games, with 11 of those 16 wins coming by at least a two-goal margin.
On the other hand, the Anaheim Ducks have lost 11 of their past 16 games, with eight of those 11 losses coming by multiple goals. I just don’t see an angle on how one could like the Ducks in this spot.
This season, the Oilers rank higher in goals scored per game, shots on goal per game, power play percentage, shooting percentage, faceoff percentage, goals allowed per game, shots on goal allowed per game, penalty kill percentage, and penalty minutes taken per game.
That list encompasses practically every aspect of the game outside of goaltending, but Edmonton will also possess the advantage in that department as Stuart Skinner is slated to guard its cage. Skinner has played tremendously over the past couple of months, allowing two or fewer goals in each of his past 12 starts.
Over that stretch, he is 11-1 with a commanding .952 SV% and 1.33 GAA. There were five or fewer total goals scored in nine of those 12 outings.
Skinner made one start against Anaheim earlier this season, saving 21 of 23 shots for a .913 SV%. Across the ice, goaltender John Gibson is slated to start between the pipes for the Ducks.
His season has not been nearly as successful, posting a 10-19-1 record with a .901 SV% and 3.05 GAA through 32 appearances in the crease.
My best bet: Oilers -1.5 (-110 at Sports Interaction)
Oilers vs Ducks same-game parlay
Oilers -1.5
Under 6.5
Despite picking Edmonton to win by a multi-goal margin, I still think this one will stay Under the total in a game that looks something like 4-2 or 4-1. Skinner’s excellence between the pipes was documented above, allowing two or fewer goals in each of his past 12 starts.
On the other hand, despite Gibson’s comparatively weaker season, he is still good enough to not get dominated by allowing five or more goals. He has allowed four or fewer total goals in each of his past six starts, posting a .906 SV% over that stretch.
Meanwhile, the Under has been the bet to make in Oilers’ games recently, cashing in each of their past 11.
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Oilers vs Ducks moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Oilers opened as a -275 favorite and remain at that price as of Thursday afternoon. It's tough to see a lot of movement on a favorite when they are already near the three-dollar mark, but considering they are the better team in every single aspect of this game, I think the line will only lengthen.
That brings us to the total, which opened at 6.5 and remains at that number at the time of writing. If you like the Under, I would move sooner rather than later, given that there have been six or fewer total goals in each of Edmonton’s past 11 games and the Skinner/Gibson matchup is a solid one.
However, considering how lopsided this matchup is, I am more comfortable in taking the Oilers -1.5 at -110 rather than Under 6.5 at -115. If those lines were flipped, I would probably be on the Under instead of the puckline.
Oilers vs Ducks betting trend to know
Edmonton has won seven of the past eight meetings between these two teams, with all seven of those wins coming by at least a two-goal differential. Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Ducks.
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Oilers vs Ducks game info
| Location: | Honda Center, Anaheim, CA |
| Date: | Friday, February 9, 2024 |
| Puck drop: | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Sportsnet West, Bally Sports SoCal |
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