The Vegas Golden Knights and Pittsburgh Penguins are trading at a near pick’em ahead of their 7 p.m. ET puck drop at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday, Nov. 3.
My favorite Golden Knights vs. Penguins prediction and NHL picks expect Vegas to break out offensively in winning fashion tonight.
TOP PICK
Golden Knights vs Penguins prediction: Golden Knights moneyline
The Vegas Golden Knights moneyline is in play up to 54%.
Vegas has scored 13 goals in its last six games thanks to a third-lowest team shooting percentage.
With the Golden Knights ranking sixth in 5-on-5 expected goals per 60 minutes and fourth in 5-on-5 expected goals percentage (xGF%) over that six-game stretch, I expect the more talented Vegas lineup to come through tonight.
Vegas starter Adin Hill is 5-2 this season despite underwhelming underlying numbers (.891 save percentage and -2.42 goals saved above expected), so I also anticipate a splash of positive statistical correction from the veteran.
Hill posted a respectable .903 SV% over 164 games across the past five seasons, after all.
Turning to the Pittsburgh Penguins, they’ve dropped nine of their past 12 games while allowing the second-most goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5, as injuries to key players continue to pile up.
COVERS INTEL: The Golden Knights have the lowest goals-for percentage over their past six games despite ranking seventh in 5-on-5 expected goals percentage with both adjusted for score and venue.
Golden Knights vs Penguins combo
Vegas has allowed the eighth-fewest goals per game and ranks seventh in goals against per 60 minutes at 5-on-5, while Pittsburgh has played to the Under in seven of its past nine home games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI).
Additionally, Penguins starter Arturs Silovs sports a rock-solid .912 SV% across five starts at PPG Paints Arena.
Vegas winger Mitch Marner has picked up a helper in 11 of 14 games this season while ranking fourth in the league in assists per 60 minutes.
Golden Knights vs Penguins combo
- Golden Knights moneyline
- Under 6.5
- Mitch Marner 1+ assists
Golden Knights vs Penguins player prop: Mitch Marner 1+ assists
I recommend this assist prop at up to 56%.
Marner has collected an assist in 10 consecutive games, while the Penguins have allowed a hefty 3.58 goals per game during their 3-9 slide.
Of course, the go-to winger has also averaged 4.23 xGF/60 while logging a career-high 3:51 of power-play time per game.
Golden Knights vs Penguins goal scorer: Tomas Hertl
Vegas center Tomas Hertl is in play to score up to 32%.
He’s generated an impressive 4.22 individual expected goals and 21 high-danger scoring chances over his past 12 games, translating into just two goals on an unsustainably low 8.0% shooting percentage.
As noted, the matchup is favorable, and Hertl leads the Golden Knights in shot attempts on the No. 1 power-play unit during the highlighted stretch despite failing to find the back of the net.
- Top picks: 31-21, +16.57 units
- Combos: 3-18, -6.92 units
Golden Knights vs Penguins odds
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- Moneyline: Golden Knights 50% | Penguins 51%
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (53%) | Under 6.5 (48%)
- Spread: Golden Knights +1.5 (72%) | Penguins -1.5 (29%)
For the full slate of NHL matchups, check out our NHL odds board!
Golden Knights vs Penguins trend
The Golden Knights have won four consecutive back-to-back games. Find more NHL betting trends.
How to watch Golden Knights vs Penguins
| Location | PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, Pa. |
| Date | Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | SN-PIT, Sportsnet+ |
Golden Knights vs Penguins latest injuries
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