Canadiens vs Penguins Prediction & Odds Tonight: NHL Picks

Luc LeBlanc - Betting Editor at Covers.com
Luc LeBlanc • Content Editor 3+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 3, 2026 , 12:21 PM ET • 4 min read

Canadiens top the Penguins as 52% favorites!

nhl

Match starts: 54 mins
Cole Caufield of the Montreal Canadiens NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Montréal Canadiens right wing Cole Caufield (13) takes a shot on goal during the second period against the Carolina Hurricanes at Lenovo Center. Mandatory Credit:

The Montreal Canadiens head south of the border to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday. Both teams dispatched their biggest rival in their respective season openers.

Montreal was one of the best-performing road teams last season, and Pittsburgh opened its season with a 7-0 demolition of Philadelphia.

Read my Canadiens vs. Penguins predictions and NHL picks for Saturday, October 3, ahead of this exciting Eastern Conference matchup.

Canadiens vs Penguins prediction: Canadiens moneyline

The Montreal Canadiens began their 2026-27 campaign with a road win over the Toronto Maple Leafs.

The Habs' 24 road wins in 2025-26 trailed only the Colorado Avalanche, going 1-0-1 in Pittsburgh and 2-0-1 overall against Sidney Crosby and company.

They scored the second-most road goals and had the league's second-best road power play at 28.2%.

The Pittsburgh Penguins finished 18th in home points last season, behind non-playoff teams like the Panthers, Blue Jackets, and Flames.

Montreal's strength away from the Bell Centre and Pittsburgh's mediocre home performance suggest a much more lopsided price than 52%.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The favorite is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these teams. These teams are 5-4-1 O/U in their last 10, and the Over hasn't cashed in consecutive meetings since December 2023.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Canadiens vs Penguins combo

Nick Suzuki has recorded an assist in 66% of regular-season games in 2026 -- the sixth-highest clip in the NHL. He had two helpers in three games against the Pens last season.

Yegor Chinakhov has recorded two or more shots on goal in 70.5% of regular-season games in 2026, the fourth-highest clip among Penguins, ahead of Crosby and Erik Karlsson.

His shot volume and point production have increased dramatically since joining the team mid-season.

Both rates, sustained over 40+ games, exceed their current pricing at Novig.

Canadiens vs Penguins combo

  • Canadiens to Win (52%)
  • Nick Suzuki 1+ Assists (58%)
  • Yegor Chinakhov 2+ Shots on Goal (61%)

 TOP PICK
Canadiens vs Penguins player prop: Nick Suzuki 1+ Assists 

Suzuki has recorded an assist in more games than any other center in the NHL since January 1—narrowly edging out Connor McDavid.

He had two helpers in three games against Pittsburgh last season, and only McDavid and Nathan MacKinnon have produced more games with a helper over the last two seasons.

He's been given a second trigger-happy winger in Chris Kreider to start this season, and it's only a matter of time before the assists start piling up for the Canadiens captain.

Canadiens vs Penguins goal scorer: Cole Caufield (39%)

No player has scored at a higher percentage of games than Cole Caufield in 2026. He's scored 31 goals in his last 35 regular-season games, finding the back of the net in 21.

A 39% price for a guy who has scored in 60% of games since mid-January feels criminal.

He's a lethal part of what was the league's second-ranked road power play last season, and his goal-scoring resume speaks for itself. Oh, and they call him Mr. Saturday Night for good reason.

Luc LeBlanc's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 0-0, +0.0 units
  • Combos: 0-0, +0.0 units
📱 DOWNLOAD THE COVERS APP FOR MORE EXPERT PICKS

Canadiens vs Penguins odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Moneyline: Canadiens 52% | Penguins 49%
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (50%) | Under 6.5 (50%)
  • Spread: Canadiens -1.5 (32%) | Penguins +1.5 (69%)

For the full slate of NHL matchups, check out our NHL odds board!

Canadiens vs Penguins trend

The favorite has won eight of these teams' last nine meetings, with Montreal winning two of three last season. Find more NHL betting trends.

How to watch Canadiens vs Penguins

Location PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Date Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV SNE, SN-Pit

Canadiens vs. Penguins latest injuries

Check out our NHL injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Luc LeBlanc
Content Editor

Luc LeBlanc has worked in sports media for nearly half a decade, blending his analytical approach, knack for pattern recognition, and a unique, transparent writing style to present readers with the best and most accurate information.

Safe and responsible sports betting never comes from blindly following picks or projections, but rather from better informing oneself through digesting trusted, transparent, and reliable information.

He holds a Geography degree (BSc) from Saint Mary's University. His love for maps and his science-oriented thought processes have seamlessly translated to how he approaches his work today.

Whether it's the NHL, ATP/WTA Tours, MLB, or NFL, he can always be trusted to deliver valuable information in an accessible manner and will never push a narrative without good reason.

Prior to joining Covers, his work could be found across numerous publications, such as The Hockey Writers, FanSided, and Oddspedia. 

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo