Covers NFL Touchdown Survivor Picks: Our Experts Draft the Best TD Plays for Week 2

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 20, 2026 , 07:45 AM ET • 4 min read

Eight experts draft their favorite TD pick for Week 2, and being wrong has consequences...

Covers NFL TD Survivor Pool Week 2 Derrick Henry
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry (22) scores a touchdown against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1.

NFL survivor pools have long been a popular content for football fans, but what if you took a survivor pool... and made it for touchdowns?

Well, we've got the answer, as we run our first Covers NFL expert survivor pool!

Eight of our brightest football minds, drafting one player each week to find paydirt, with true glory (and maybe more) on the line.

Follow along with our team's selections each week — and tail the NFL TD picks you also think will deliver!

Covers NFL Touchdown Survivor rules

  • Random draft order each week for player selection (two analysts cannot have the same player in the same week).
  • Each analyst chooses one player. Once he's selected, they cannot select him again this year.
  • If your pick is correct: Gold star. If your pick is wrong: You get a strike.
  • Three strikes... and you're out of the competition.
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Covers NFL TD Survivor Picks: Week 2

Draft No. Expert Pick Kalshi
Probability
1 Josh Inglis
Ravens Derrick Henry
69%
2 Joe Osborne 
49ersChristian McCaffrey
67%
3 Rob Paul
FalconsBijan Robinson
64%
4 Jon Metler
ChargersOmarion Hampton
56%
5 Jason Logan
EaglesJalen Hurts
39%
6 Dustin Saracini
ChiefsKenneth Walker III
65%
7 Neil Parker
EaglesSaquon Barkley
50%
8 Chris Vasile
CowboysCeeDee Lamb
45%

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Josh Inglis' TD play: Derrick Henry 69%

Week 2 draft spot: No. 1

With the injuries to the Baltimore pass-catchers, a likely positive game script, and a soft Saints defense, it makes sense that Derrick Henry is the most probable player (69%) to score today.

Joe Osborne's TD play: Christian McCaffrey 67%

Week 2 draft spot: No. 2

The 49ers have one of the highest team totals of the week (at 29.5), so let's grab their most likely TD scorer in Christian McCaffrey, who has a 67% probability of getting into the end zone.

Rob Paul's TD play: Bijan Robinson 64%

Week 2 draft spot: No. 3

There's a reason Bijan Robinson has a 64% probability of finding the end zone — despite the Falcons' QB situation: He had 29 touches last week with Cooper Rush at QB, and Carolina's defense was the worst against the run in Week 1 (32nd in EPA per rush).

Jon Metler's TD play: Omarion Hampton 56%

Week 2 draft spot: No. 4

Omarion Hampton had a light workload last week, with only 12 carries as the Chargers lost to the Cardinals. I’d probably run up the score to increase the vibes against the Raiders.

Jason Logan's TD play: Jalen Hurts 39%

Week 2 draft spot: No. 5

I’m using old-school hip-hop songs as my guide in this weekly ATTD contest. And in Week 2, I’m gonna "push it real good" with Jalen Hurts.

Eagles want to use him in the run more, and the Titans won't put up much of a fuss. Brotherly Shove FTW!

Dustin Saracini's TD play: Kenneth Walker III 65%

Week 2 draft spot: No. 6

Do I really need to say more here? Kenneth Walker III had seven yards per carry and two scores against a Broncos defense that is supposed to be one of the best units in football, and now gets a Colts front seven that allowed King Henry to run for 144 yards and three touchdowns in Week 1.

Neil Parker's TD play: Saquon Barkley 50%

Week 2 draft spot: No. 7

Saquon Barkley handled 48.3% of the Philly red-zone carries in 2025, and the Titans were just run over by the Jets. 

The Jets!

Sorry, JLo. Saquon’s the one scoring in Nashville this Sunday.

Chris Vasile's TD play: CeeDee Lamb 45%

Week 2 draft spot: No. 8

CeeDee Lamb found the end zone in Week 1, while drawing a team-high eight targets, and he gets another strong scoring environment against Washington: Cowboys-Commanders carries a 50.5-point total — the highest on Sunday’s slate and second-highest behind TNF.

Week 2 TD combo: Covers Survivor Pool edition

Want to really put some juice into tailing our touchdown survivor picks? Put them all together in a combo, with this week's octet equaling a 73.1x payout!

Derrick Henry

Christian McCaffrey

Bijan Robinson

Omarion Hampton

Jalen Hurts

Kenneth Walker III

Saquon Barkley

CeeDee Lamb

Covers Weekly TD Survivor tracker

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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Josh Inglis - Covers
Betting Analyst

Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2019, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup.

Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC.

Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds.

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