After cashing in big on several NFL touchdown props in Week 1, we’re heading into Week 2 with momentum — and sharper eyes for value. With player roles becoming clearer and matchups offering prime red-zone opportunities, this week’s board is loaded with potential.
Whether you're hunting plus-money scorers or banking on elite names to find paydirt again, we've broken down the NFL picks to help keep the profits rolling. Let’s run it back in Week 2!
Best Week 2 TD props
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None +5500 (0.1u) |
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Odds courtesy of DraftKings.
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Bills vs Jets
Josh Allen (-105 at DraftKings) 5⭐
These two offenses combined for 73 points and nine touchdowns in Week 1 — plenty of scoring, and plenty of value in the TD market for Week 2.
Three names I’m targeting: Josh Allen (-105), Justin Fields (+145), and Braelon Allen (+245).
The Jets leaned run-heavy in the red zone last week—Fields didn’t attempt a single RZ pass but ran it four times, punching in two scores. Braelon Allen saw 50% of the RB red zone carries and found the end zone from eight yards out. Meanwhile, Josh Allen tied Christian McCaffrey for the most RZ rushes in Week 1 (8 attempts).
I'd happily play Josh Allen down to -125, but there’s real value on both Jets players too. Allen’s my favorite, but I’ll be betting all three this week.
Bears vs Lions
D'Andre Swift ( +145 at DraftKings) 5⭐
It’s an indoor game and the return of Ben Johnson to Detroit, and I’m happy to back the Chicago offense here—especially with former Lion D’Andre Swift at +145 to score a touchdown, which is my favorite angle.
Swift played 81% of the snaps in Week 1 and handled Chicago’s only red-zone carry. He was highly involved despite playing on a rough surface last week, and the fast track indoors at Ford Field should only help his explosiveness.
The Lions struggled against the run in Week 1, ranking 26th in success rate and 22nd in EPA per rush. Josh Jacobs managed 20 touches, including five red-zone carries, and scored from the 3-yard line.
If Swift sees similar usage, he has a great shot to find the end zone. I'd buy this to +115/+120.
Browns vs Ravens
Harold Fannin ( +370 at DraftKings) 3⭐
As tempting as it is to go back to Lamar Jackson at +155, the real value might be on the other side of the ball after how shaky the Baltimore defense looked Sunday night. Jerry Jeudy told reporters this week there are “no challenges” with the Ravens' secondary—probably not the smartest thing to say, and it may draw extra attention his way. That’s why I’m looking at the tight end position for a touchdown in this game.
The Browns ran 2-TE sets at the second-highest rate in Week 1, and it was No. 2 tight end Harold Fannin—not David Njoku—who benefited most. Fannin played 72% of snaps and ran a route on 64% of dropbacks, compared to Njoku’s 84% snap share and 77% route rate. Still, Fannin led the team with nine targets and finished second in receiving yards with 63.
Cedric Tillman was the only pass-catcher to score against Cincinnati, but there were only two red-zone targets—one to Tillman and one to Fannin.
I’d play a Fannin TD down to +350 based on usage and Cleveland’s heavy 12 personnel. If you’re hunting a deep longshot, Raheim Sanders at +1700 is interesting—he scored last week and handled two of the four carries inside the 5-yard line. Joe Flacco isn’t stealing those goal-line plunges.
Jaguars vs Bengals
Travis Etienne (+140 at DraftKings) 5⭐
I’m a proud square when it comes to betting TDs—give me elite snap-share backs with red-zone work at good prices, and I’m in. This week, that’s Chase Brown (-105) and Travis Etienne (+140).
With Tank Bigsby out of the picture, Etienne is locked into a heavy workload. Rookie Bhayshul Tuten got two red-zone carries in Week 1, but Etienne handled 10 of 14 RB touches and posted a 71% first-half snap share. He racked up 156 total yards on 19 touches (16 carries, 3 targets) and should be heavily involved again vs. Cincinnati.
At +140, you’re getting a lead back with 20-touch upside in a game where the Jags could easily score 3+ TDs. That’s strong value.
Rams vs Titans
Tyler Higbee (+260 at DraftKings) 4⭐
I’m staying away from the Titans offense, which puts the focus on the Rams—especially with their increased use of two-TE sets in Week 1. Tyler Higbee, Colby Parkinson, and Davis Allen all played at least 37% of the snaps, and both Parkinson and Allen saw red-zone targets. Allen found the end zone at +2200, the second-longest TD scorer of the week behind Ben Skowronek (+2500).
The value on Allen is gone—he’s now down to +650—but I’m pivoting to Higbee at +260.
Higbee led all Rams tight ends in snap share (58%) and route participation (63%), ranking third on the team and just behind Puka Nacua’s 69%. He didn’t see a target last week, which might be helping inflate the price heading into Week 2.
It’s worth noting Higbee had two TDs in three games last season after returning from injury in Week 16. In a game where the Rams could spend a lot of time in scoring position, I like the bounce-back spot.
Patriots vs Dolphins
Keyshon Boutte (+330 at DraftKings) 4⭐(0.6 units)
Demario Douglas (+425 at DraftKings) 4⭐(0.6 units)
Let’s target the Dolphins in Week 2. Miami is dealing with major issues in the secondary — four defensive backs are already ruled out, and three more, including starter Storm Duck, were listed as DNPs on Wednesday’s initial injury report.
Kayshon Boutte had a breakout Week 1, racking up 103 yards on six catches with a team-high eight targets. Demario Douglas found the end zone, but Boutte looks like the better bet this week at +330. That said, Douglas is also in play at +425 after seeing three red-zone targets last week against the Raiders.
Boutte at this number is strong value for a WR1 in a plus matchup, and Douglas is tough to ignore with that usage. I’m putting 0.6 units on each Patriots receiver to score.
Giants vs Cowboys
Javonte Williams (+120 at DraftKings) 5⭐
I don’t love this game, but with Brian Schottenheimer saying Jaydon Blue needs to “show more consistency” before becoming active, Javonte Williams’ role as the all-purpose back looks secure. At +120, you're getting a solid number—even against a strong Giants defensive front.
Williams converted two of three red-zone carries last week in a run-heavy offense under new leadership. Miles Sanders, who got the other two RZ looks, also lost a key fumble that could cost him valuable touches in close.
This is strong value for a back who could see 20 touches behind a healthy offensive line with three first-rounders and extra rest. I’d play this to even money. The Giants also finished 30th in success rate vs. the rush and rush EPA last week.
Seahawks vs Steelers
Jonnu Smith (+380 at DraftKings) 5⭐
The Jets vs. Steelers game last week was surprisingly fun, and I’m betting on Pittsburgh’s offense to show up again in Week 2. My target: Jonnu Smith to score at +380.
Smith impressed in his Steelers debut, stepping in as the TE1 with a 66% snap share and a 53% route rate. Only DK Metcalf saw more targets in the game—Smith finished with five catches and a touchdown. On six red-zone plays, Pittsburgh ran it four times and passed twice—one to Calvin Austin, the other to Smith for the score.
Seattle had trouble with George Kittle last week before he exited early. He still managed four catches and a touchdown, and the 49ers ended up with two TE scores against the Seahawks.
It's a 5-star play to +350.
49ers vs Saints
No Touchdown Scorer (+5,500 at DraftKings) 3⭐ (0.1u)
The 49ers are already banged up, and this offense is tough to trust in Week 2—even indoors against the Saints. On the other side, Spencer Rattler didn’t inspire much confidence last week vs. Arizona, and now we’re staring down a Mac Jones vs. Rattler matchup. If there’s ever a spot to take a shot on no touchdown scored, this might be it.
“No TD in game” is listed at 55/1.
The 49ers are without their QB1, TE1, WR1, and WR2, Jauan Jennings (shoulder) was a DNP on Wednesday. The defense, meanwhile, is healthy and just held Seattle in check last week holding them to 1-for-3 in the RZ.
The Saints can move the ball, but with Rattler under center, finishing drives will be a struggle—especially in the red zone. The 49ers were a mess inside the 20 after George Kittle exited in Week 1, and their game-winning touchdown pass came off a lucky deflection.
Don’t forget the kicker issues either—Jake Moody was just released, and a red-zone turnover or missed field goal could be in play.
Just a small 0.1-unit dart throw here, but the setup makes it worth a look.
Panthers vs Cardinals
Chuba Hubbard (+105 at DraftKings) 4⭐
This might not be the most-watched game on the late-afternoon slate, but an indoor matchup for the Panthers makes Chuba Hubbard a strong plus-money TD target.
Bryce Young and the offense struggled in Week 1, but this Arizona defense—with several new starters—is far from elite. Hubbard handled all three red-zone carries on Carolina’s lone trip inside the 20 and dominated the backfield with 21 of 27 RB opportunities. He also stayed on the field late in a lopsided 26-10 loss.
He totaled 89 yards and remains game-script proof thanks to his passing-down role. Rico Dowdle is the No. 2, but he scored just twice last year on 235 carries and saw only 25 red-zone attempts. Dave Canales clearly trusts Hubbard, who has 20-carry upside every week.
I’ll take him at -115 or better in most spots—and love the setup this week indoors vs. Arizona.
Broncos vs Colts
Tyler Warren (+235 at DraftKings) 3⭐
Tyler Warren had a huge NFL debut, leading the Colts with nine targets and finishing with a 7/76/0 line. He’s currently +235 to score this weekend — shorter than Michael Pittman (+255) and behind Jonathan Taylor (-135) and Daniel Jones (+175).
Normally, I’d lean Pittman at this number, but he’ll likely see plenty of Pat Surtain in coverage. Instead, I’m backing the big rookie tight end, who already looks to have chemistry with Daniel Jones and saw two of the team’s three red-zone targets in Week 1.
In what could be a low-scoring game, I wouldn’t play this much lower than +220.
Eagles vs Chiefs
AJ Brown (+180 at DraftKings) 3⭐
This might be my least favorite TD game on the slate.
Hollywood Brown has dropped to +155, and I don’t trust the Chiefs in the red zone. They barely run the ball, and when they do, it's ineffective. I’m leaning toward Mahomes to score again at +425, but the better play might be AJ Brown at +180.
Brown has the classic squeaky-wheel narrative this week after seeing just one target in Week 1. For reference, his worst game last season was 36 yards and a touchdown in Week 17 vs. Dallas. He scored in nine of 17 games, including the playoffs, and had a TD in the Super Bowl against the Chiefs despite limited volume.
Kansas City gave up two touchdowns to Quentin Johnston last week and made Justin Herbert look like an MVP candidate. I’ll take the bounce-back spot on a motivated WR1 at a decent number.
Falcons vs Vikings
Jordan Mason (-105 at DraftKings) 5⭐
Do I want to take another swing at Michael Penix for a longshot TD? Sure. But realistically, I’m getting a bit square here and going with Jordan Mason at around even money.
He looked like the better back on Monday night, and his success on early downs helped open up the playbook — especially on second and short in the fourth quarter. Mason logged a 57% snap share and handled 15 of the team’s 23 RB carries. He ran with more authority and should be in line for another 15 touches Sunday night in a solid indoor matchup.
Aaron Jones handled most of the pass-catching work, but Mason got all three red-zone carries — all between the 10 and 20-yard line.
Kyle Pitts at +330 was my next-best look, but with uncertainty around Drake London and Darnell Mooney’s status, it’s hard to commit there on a Thursday.
Buccaneers vs Texans
Dalton Schultz (+240 at DraftKings) 4⭐
Bucky Irving at -105 is a reasonable option, but my official play for the early Monday night game is Dalton Schultz at +240.
It’s a favorable setup — an indoor home game against a Bucs defense that struggled to contain Kyle Pitts in Week 1. Schultz tied for the team lead in targets last week, despite playing just 54% of snaps and running a route on 60% of dropbacks. The Texans’ three-WR sets lacked any real pass-catching punch, and new OC Nick Caley may be forced to adjust, which should mean more involvement for Schultz.
There’s also a clear path to increased snaps with fellow tight end Cade Stover out for the foreseeable future due to a fractured foot after playing 57% of snaps in Week 1.
I’m on Schultz at +240 and would play it down to +210.
Chargers vs Raiders
Quentin Johnston (+250 at DraftKings) 4⭐
The Chargers used three-wide receivers sets at the highest rate in Week 1 at 84%. There were plenty of snaps to go around for Ladd McConkey, Keenan Allen, and Quentin Johnston.
All three contributed vs. KC while in the red zone, and the Chargers ran the ball four times (all Omarion Hampton) and threw it thrice. Two of those RZ targets went to Johnston, who still had some drops, but he also scored two times.
He is also the longest of the three WRs to score again in an indoor game in a good matchup. QJ is +250 to score again this week, and I think I would take whoever is the longest of the three. Luckily, it's the guy running the second-most routes and getting the most RZ looks early.
Our Week 2 DraftKings Ghost Leg parlay
Last week I used the DK Ghost Leg offer to take down three of four legs for 5.51 units of profit. This week, I'm adding the ghost leg offer again but beefing it up to five legs, because James Conner vs. the Panthers deserves to be on every TD parlay this weekend.
Jordan Mason was a truck last Monday night and could be in for another 15 carries, plus all the red-zone work. Javonte Williams will have the backfield to himself in a good matchup as Jaydon Blue might not dress again this week and Miles Sanders lost trust with a late fumble.
Travis Etienne was my favorite TD prop at +140, but that price has come tumbling down for a reason. The Miami offense is scary, but a home date with the Patriots is a good sign and Achane is going to be heavily involved for 60 minutes. Conner would be my survivor TD pick of the week.
Don't forget to use the DraftKings Ghost Leg so if one leg loses, the bet still cashes.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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