The New York Jets keep spiraling as the Buffalo Bills rise to new heights, and it's difficult to resist that colossal mismatch as part of our NFL survivor pool expert picks for Week 10.
Our experts are all over the Bills this week, who seem set to trounce their division rivals again. The Jets have lost four straight, and they were most recently on the wrong end of a 35-12 pummeling from the Kansas City Chiefs.
Elsewhere in our NFL picks, a still daunting Seattle Seahawks defense is poised to give first overall pick Fernando Mendoza a rough regular-season debut.
NFL survivor pool expert picks for Week 10
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, please see our odds calculator.
| Expert | Pick |  Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
 Dustin Saracini |
 Seahawks |
72% |
 Joe Osborne |
 Bills |
78% |
 Geoff Clark |
Bills |
78% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Dustin Saracini’s expert pick: Seahawks
While I absolutely love the Bills this week if you haven’t used them yet, the Seattle Seahawks are another strong option against a down-and-out Las Vegas Raiders team throwing Fernando Mendoza to the wolves in his first NFL start.
The Seahawks boast the league’s top-ranked defense in total yards and passing yards allowed while surrendering just 18 points per game. That’s a tough matchup for a rookie quarterback making his debut, though Mendoza still soared to the top of the NFL Rookie of the Year odds. Expect Seattle to make Mendoza’s first professional start a nightmare.
Joe Osborne's survivor pick: Bills
Somehow, the Jets keep getting worse, and the Buffalo Bills don’t need their A-game to win on Sunday. If they do play at their best though, expect them to easily log a double-digit win. Buffalo leads the NFL in scoring at 32 points per game, while the Jets rank 25th at just 20.2. New York has dropped four straight, and expecting the Jets' offense to keep pace with Josh Allen isn’t realistic.
Geoff Clark’s expert pick: Bills
The Bills have put together a five-game winning and covering streak over their AFC East rivals. They also logged 20- and 27-point wins over the Jets last season, head coach Aaron Glenn’s first in New York. Glenn sits high in the next NFL head coach out odds, and the Bills look like the best team in the AFC. Plus, Buffalo’s offensive line holds a huge edge in the trenches.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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