The NFL coaching carousel is heating up, and Todd Bowles is making a move in the next NFL head coach out odds. Dan Quinn remains the narrow favorite, but the gap between the two coaches has nearly disappeared.
Quinn leads the next NFL coach fired odds at 31%, with Bowles right behind him at 30% after another agonizing loss.
Let's take a look at the latest NFL head coach out odds.
Next NFL coach fired odds
| Coach |  Probability |
Recent Movement |
|---|---|---|
 Dan Quinn |
31% | ▼ 4% |
 Todd Bowles |
30% | ▲ 18% |
 Nick Sirianni |
16% | ▼ 4% |
 Shane Steichen |
23% | ▲ 21% |
 Brian Schottenheimer |
4% | ▲ 1% |
Odds as of 10-19 for the next NFL head coach to be fired, resign, or leave before Feb. 15, 2027. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
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This market remains in its early stages, with relatively limited trading volume contributing to sharp swings in percentages. Some prices may look unusual compared to more mature markets. The following serves primarily as a look at an emerging market and the information it's signaling, rather than as trading advice at current prices.
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Latest next NFL coach fired odds movement
- Dan Quinn (31%): Quinn spiked to 63% after a Week 5 time-management fiasco, but has since leveled off. However, he's still the 31% market choice.
- Todd Bowles (30%): Bowles crept up from 23% after Tampa fell to 1-5.
- Nick Sirianni (16%): Sirianni's hot seat is heating up thanks to some questionable strategy calls, plus mounting injuries, including Jalen Hurts' alarming blood clot diagnosis that has sidelined him for the season.
Next NFL coach fired prediction: Todd Bowles
Things look hopeless in Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers cleaned house in the offseason, firing five assistant coaches, including OC Josh Grizzard. There's nowhere for Bowles to hide, and the Baker Mayfield thumb injury is not helping.
Pick made on 10-19.
Not intended for use in MA.
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