It was a rough year for Kansas City Chiefs receivers.
As a group, the Chiefs receiving corps topped the NFL in dropped passes with 39 (a drop rate of 6.9%) despite having a Hall of Fame quarterback in Patrick Mahomes making throws.
Mahomes boasted the second-highest percentage of passes on target (82.2%) with the fifth-lowest rate of bad passes (13.3%), which meant those bobbled balls were the fault of his butter-fingered teammates.
Rookie wide receiver Rashee Rice wasn’t immune to those miscues, but he did prove his worth to Mahomes and quickly became one of his most reliable targets. In fact, Rice was almost as popular an option as TE Travis Kelce and finished just behind the star tight end in terms of receptions and receiving yards.
His emergence has Rice’s player props among the most popular betting markets for Super Bowl odds.
I comb through the Rashee Rice odds for the Big Game and give my best NFL picks and predictions for Kansas City WR Rashee Rice in Super Bowl 58.
For more NFL odds analysis and Super Bowl predictions, be sure to check out our 49ers vs. Chiefs picks and Isiah Pacheco prop picks!
Rashee Rice Super Bowl prop picks
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Rashee Rice Super Bowl prop pick
Anytime TD (+140)
Rashee Rice’s touchdown market for Super Bowl LVIII ranged between +110 and +145 upon opening and still sits at +115 to +140 across the industry as of Thursday of the bye week.
When measured against Travis Kelce’s touchdown odds (range from +105 to -120), who he’ll be competing with for those receiving TDs, Rice isn’t too far behind.
Heck, he’s garnered one extra red-zone target than Kelce overall (26 vs. 25) and enters with eight total TDs on the year (the same number as Kelce). Honestly, if you look at Kansas City’s offense, he and Kelce are the only targets Mahomes trusts on those crucial downs.
This matchup with San Francisco is also great for Rice’s prospects. The rookie rated out No. 9 among all wide receivers versus zone coverage at PFF.com and takes on a 49ers defense that is anchored in Cover 3 and Cover 4 schemes.
It’s Rice’s versatility that makes him such a valuable weapon. At 6-foot-1 and 204 pounds, he’s big enough to battle rival DBs and has shown zero fear coming across the middle, finding space in those zone coverages. He’s also among the quicker WRs on the Chiefs roster and we’ve seen him burn defenders deep as well as in the flat, breaking off the fourth most yards after the catch in the NFL.
Some player projections for Rice are very positive, with his receiving output ranging from 66 yards to as many as 91 yards. Along with that forecast, some models have his touchdown projections as high as 0.56 – third highest among all skill players behind only RBs Christian McCaffrey and Isiah Pacheco.
Prop: Anytime TD (+140 at FanDuel)
Rashee Rice Super Bowl same-game parlay
Rashee Rice anytime TD
Chiefs moneyline
Brock Purdy Over 11.5 rushing yards
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Rice has been just as active a touchdown scorer as Travis Kelce and while he hasn’t scored in two games, his projections have him as the third most likely TD scorer on the field.
I have more faith in the Kansas City defense and when it comes to Brock Purdy vs. Patrick Mahomes, Purdy can’t win this game on his own (like Mahomes) but he sure can lose it.
Purdy has seen his biggest rushing days come against top-tier pass rushes and that’s what the Chiefs bring to the table. The 49ers QB scrambled for 48 yards and a long of 21 yards vs. Detroit.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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