Sin City crashes the Motor City's party on Monday Night Football when the Las Vegas Raiders visit the Detroit Lions in the Week 8 odds finale.
Detroit aims to bounce back from a rough loss to Baltimore last Sunday, and the NFL odds believe it can, setting the Lions as sizable home favorites. Expect an insane Halloween-fueled crowd at Ford Field in primetime.
Las Vegas gets Jimmy Garoppolo back under center after he missed the team's Week 7 loss to Chicago. The Raiders have dropped three straight road games after opening 2023 with a win away from the “Black Hole.”
I break down the MNF odds and give my best NFL picks and predictions for Raiders at Lions on October 30.
Additionally, we've got a trio of Raiders vs. Lions props and a Jared Goff odds and props spotlight to help you profit as much as possible!
Raiders vs Lions odds
Raiders vs Lions predictions
It’s Devil’s Night in Detroit (fun fact: if you love 90’s action flicks, that was the setting for 1994’s “The Crow”), and while Halloween is more notoriously associated with Michael Myers, my attention swings to Raiders receiver Jakobi Meyers on Monday night.
He could be just as scary for this Lions defense.
Meyers has become a favorite of QB Jimmy Garoppolo in their five games together, and he’s drawn double-digit targets in four of six appearances overall this season. In fact, since Week 4, Meyers has been targeted at the same rate as Davante Adams (34 times).
Meyers is a versatile option in this offense, lining up out wide or in the slot and utilizing his 6-foot-2 frame to bully smaller defenders. He’s averaging more than 64 yards receiving per game and has topped his receiving yards prop in four of the six games he was active (missed Week 2).
His yardage prop for Monday Night Football sits as low as 59.5 yards at FanDuel (Over -114) and give his role in the offense — as well as the spread and setting for MNF — you’ve got to like another Over from Meyers.
Las Vegas is a sizable underdog in Detroit, which means game script calls for the Raiders to be playing from behind and passing more in order to catch up. You also put his offense on the fast indoor track of Ford Field, and the Over on passing/receiving props have a little extra pop.
The Lions’ defense has benefitted from playing some bad passing attacks in the opening seven weeks of the season (Carolina, Tampa Bay, Green Bay and Atlanta), but when faced with a competent QB, Detroit has been roasted for plenty of passing yards.
Detroit dodged a bullet against a butterfingered Chiefs WR corps (missing Travis Kelce) in Week 1 but allowed 311 yards through the air to Geno Smith and Seattle in Week 2 and were scorched by Lamar Jackson and the Ravens for 357 passing yards last weekend.
Jimmy G and the Silver and Black air attack aren’t on the same level as those successful foes, but this Vegas offense is an underrated bunch, ranking seventh in success rate per dropback (49.5%). Garoppolo sits middle-of-the-road in many advanced quarterback metrics (including EPA+CPOE). The Raiders also have sound pass protection that should allow for deeper plays to develop.
The majority of Meyers’ player projections for Week 8 are positive, with most coming in above his receiving yard total of 59.5. My number comes out to 64 yards, while some models call for a ceiling closer to 72 yards.
My best bet: Jakobi Meyers Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Raiders vs Lions same-game parlay
Jakobi Meyers Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime TD
Over 45.5
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Meyers and Jimmy G have had a growing connection in Josh McDaniels’ offense and he’s gone Over his yardage prop in four of six games in 2023.
Jahmyr Gibbs is once again the feature RB for the Lions with David Montgomery out of action. Vegas has been rolled by running backs, including seven TDs from the position.
The Lions can put up points at home and the Raiders passing game is better than you think. Put them inside the fast track of Ford Field and we’ll get plenty of points on Monday.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Raiders vs Lions spread and Over/Under analysis
This spread opened with the Lions as 7.5-point home chalk on Monday Night Football despite Detroit getting absolutely rolled by Baltimore in Week 7. That 38-6 stomping snapped a four-game winning streak for the Lions and quieted the conversation about the Lions’ Super Bowl odds.
This spread got bet up as high as Detroit -9 before action came back on the Raiders with positive news around Garoppolo, who missed Week 7 with a back injury. Once Jimmy G was cleared to play, this spread has since settled as low as Lions -7.5 as of Sunday morning. Covers Consensus shows 69% of picks on Detroit.
This Week 8 homestand is set up for the Lions to recover from Week 7 embarrassment and the Raiders don’t pose the same two-way test the Ravens did. Detroit’s offense should be able to keep the chains moving against a Las Vegas defense that protects against the big play but hemorrhages shorter gains underneath.
The Raiders rank 13th in yards allowed per play (5.1) but sit 26th in third-down defense and 28th in opponent success rate per play (47.1%) which means foes are able to sustain drives and pick up first downs by settling for shorter gains.
The Lions are one of the best offenses at doing just that. Detroit is Top 10 in both EPA and success rate per play, while converting on over 40% of its third-down spots. Detroit has been especially efficient at home, where they boast 0.495 points per play — third-highest for home teams in the NFL.
Vegas’ offense could have a tough time keeping pace should the Lions jump out to an early lead. Even with Garoppolo back in the mix, this offense has topped out at 21 points this season, averaging only 16 points a game entering Week 8.
The Raiders’ offensive line has done a good job keeping Jimmy G clean, as he’s faced the second-lowest pressure rate per dropback among qualified QBs and has taken only seven sacks and 12 QB hits through his five games in 2023.
The O-line ranks No. 5 in pass block win rate per ESPN. This protection faces a Lions pass rush that relies heavily on the front four to collapse the pocket and blitzes on less than 20% of opponents’ dropbacks while generating six interceptions on the season.
Detroit’s offensive line has some holes heading into Monday night, with two starters likely out for this non-conference clash, including center Frank Ragnow. Quarterback Jared Goff has been somewhat protected this season, with the Detroit pass protection ranked No. 11 in pass block win rate and allowing pressure on just 21% of Goff’s dropbacks.
Las Vegas hasn’t been able to generate much of a pass rush through six games, sitting 30th in pressure rate (16.3%) with 15 sacks and nine QB hits overall. Goff sees a notable shift in his passing stats when pressured, as he sits as the No. 2 rated QB at PFF.com when kept clean versus 28th when under pressure.
Monday’s total opened as low as 44.5 and has been bet up to as high as 46.5 points, as of Sunday morning. Covers Consensus is reporting 62% of picks taking the Over for the Week 8 finale.
The Lions enter this matchup with a 4-3 Over/Under mark on the season, including 2-1 O/U count inside the fast track of Ford Field. As for Las Vegas, it’s “slow bleed” defense and pop-gun attack has been a perfect storm for Under fans, bringing a 2-5 O/U count in Week 8.
Raiders vs Lions betting trend to know
The Lions are 15-5 ATS and 12-8 Over/Under inside Ford Field under head coach Dan Campbell. Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Lions.
Raiders vs Lions game info
| Location: | Ford Field, Detroit, MI |
| Date: | Monday, October 30, 2023 |
| Kickoff: | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN or ABC |
| Opening odds: | Lions -7.5, 45 O/U |
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