After a Wild Card Weekend plagued by winter weather, the NFL Divisional Round hopes to stay dry and warm on the West Coast when the Green Bay Packers visit the Super Bowl odds leading San Francisco 49ers.
That could be a tough ask, with the extended forecast for Santa Clara calling for less “fun in the sun” and more “pain in the rain” for this 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff on Saturday night.
My Packers vs. 49ers weather report breaks down the pending elements for this NFC Divisional Round dance and how they’ll impact the NFL odds — helping you make smarter NFL picks.
For more playoff coverage, be sure to also check out our Divisional Round odds breakdown!
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Packers vs 49ers Weather
As of Tuesday, some weather models are calling for a 75% chance of rain when the Green Bay Packers hit the road to take on the San Francisco 49ers on Saturday night. The wet stuff is expected to continue throughout the prime-time contest but won’t be a heavy downpour.
Winds won’t be a big factor, with sustained speeds below 10 mph and gusts between 11 and 14 mph blowing SSE at Levi’s Stadium. Game-time temperatures will be in the mid-50s in Santa Clara. Rains in the area are supposed to start later Friday morning and continue through to early Tuesday morning, so the Tifway II Bermuda grass surface at Levi’s Stadium will likely be tarped ahead of the game.
San Francisco played in heavier rain against the Seahawks during last season’s Wild Card Round, with water levels reaching flooding in some of the surrounding areas.
The Niners broke away in the second half for a 41-23 victory, rushing 33 times for 181 yards on the ground (5.5 yards per carry), and the playing surface held up just fine. Given that, footing shouldn’t be compromised that much this weekend.
The 49ers — who run at one of the highest rates in the league — do rush to the outside edge at the ninth-highest ratio (41%) and rely on plenty of quick-cutting routes in the passing game. A slippery surface could slow those cut-reliant play calls down a touch.
As for the Packers’ ground game, it has more balance in its directional tendencies but had great success with the downhill rushing attack against Dallas in the Wild Card, with RB Aaron Jones rumbling for 118 yards on 21 attempts.
Green Bay’s passing playbook finished second in air yards overall and the WRs run deeper routes based more on speed than creating space with cuts. Quarterback Jordan Love did have the sixth most passes dropped by receivers (29) in the NFL, while the pass-catching crew surrounding Brock Purdy bobbled only nine total passes. Nine.
Oddsmakers opened San Francisco as a 9.5-point home favorite and that has been bet up to -10 at many sportsbooks. This total hit the board as low as 50 points and went up to as high as 51 at select books before coming back down to that original Over/Under.
Given the current weather models for Santa Clara on Saturday night, the betting markets shouldn’t see much of an influence — if any — from those light rains in the Bay Area.
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