The next chapter in a bitter divisional rivalry is the finale to the first Sunday of a new NFL season, and we're diving in with our Cowboys vs. Giants best bets.
We've collected bets from our top experts, which will help you make your NFL picks.
Kickoff is slated for 8:20 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium on NBC tonight.
Cowboys vs Giants predictions
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Cowboys moneyline |
60% |
 Giants +2.5 |
49% |
| / Over 47.5 |
50% |
| Jaxson Dart Over 29.5 rushing yards - Yes |
55% |
| Isaiah Likely anytime TD |
26.3% |
| George Pickens anytime TD |
38% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Who will win Cowboys vs Giants?
The Dallas Cowboys are favored against the New York Giants tonight, and Trevor Knapp is backing the visitors in his NFL Week 1 moneyline picks.
Our prediction: Cowboys to win — Yes (60%)
"There’s plenty of noise around the Giants and an abundance of talent at the skill positions, but losing Dexter Lawrence II is an underrated blow. Meanwhile, Dallas has quietly avoided the Jerry Jones-induced drama that has defined so much of their recent offseasons.
Dallas is 9-1 straight up over its last 10 head-to-head matchups against the G-Men, and I like the Cowboys to stand tall on Sunday night."
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Cowboys vs Giants spread prediction
Our prediction: Giants +2.5 — Yes (45%)
Our NFL prop projections page is calling for a tight affair and a 2.45-point difference, meaning the Giants will cover +2.5.
The Giants will need to keep pace with the Cowboys' high-octane offense. Our NFL Week 1 injury updates show Malik Nabers listed as questionable, though he seems to be on the right side of that status.
Cowboys vs Giants total prediction
Our prediction: Over 47.5 — Yes (50%)
Our Jason Logan envisions a night when the Cowboys' top-tier wide receiver duo produces some fireworks, leading to a rising total. He outlines that forecast in his Cowboys vs. Giants predictions.
"The Cowboys can poke the Giants’ soft spot with the best two-man receiving tandem in the league. CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens are a problem for the best defenses, not just doing damage deep but also helping the Cowboys register the fourth-most YAC last season.
If Dallas can hit some big plays early, it puts pressure on Giants’ new OC Matt Nagy to get away from his run-heavy schemes and pick up the pace, with more passing."
More Cowboys vs. Giants picks from Covers
Cowboys vs Giants player props
Rushing prop: Jaxson Dart Over 29.5 rushing yards — Yes ( 55%)
Geoff Clark has been scouring the prop market for tonight's meeting, and he's liking Jaxson Dart to do plenty on the ground.
"Under the bright lights of Sunday Night Football, Dart will probably go all out like he usually does, especially against a Dallas Cowboys defense that finished 30th in rushing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks last season.
Furthermore, Dart ran for at least 32 yards in eight of his 12 starts last season and boasted seven games of 48+ rushing yards."
Thirsty for more Sunday Night Football props? Head over to Clark's full Cowboys vs. Giants prop picks.
Giants anytime touchdown prop: Isaiah Likely — Yes (26.3%)
Josh Inglis dug up a touchdown pick for every game, and for the Giants he's eyeing a new addition to the team in Isaiah Likely as part of his NFL anytime touchdown picks for Week 1.
"The new tight end could become the No. 2 option in a passing game that has plenty of upside in the opener. Likely signed a three-year deal, so the G-Men are committed, while Nabers obviously comes with some health concerns. There are also reports that Dart and Likely have created a solid bond throughout camp and the preseason."
Cowboys anytime touchdown prop: George Pickens — Yes (38%)
Elsewhere, Clark is tabbing Pickens to score in his Cowboys vs. Giants touchdown picks.
"Last season, the Cowboys wideout led the team in TD receptions (nine), targets (137), catches (93), and receiving yards (1,429).
Pro Football Focus graded Pickens as the seventh-best player at his position last year out of 128 qualified wide receivers. Meanwhile, all five of the New York Giants' starting defensive backs had a failing grade, according to PFF."
Cowboys vs Giants live markets explained
Kalshi's event contracts can be bought and sold as the Cowboys vs. Giants game unfolds, meaning traders aren't locked into their pregame positions.
The probabilities will move throughout the game as the score, time remaining, possession, and game state change.
How do Cowboys vs Giants prediction markets work?
Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where users trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, users trade event contracts based on simple Yes/No questions such as "Will the Cowboys beat the Giants?"
Contract prices reflect the market's estimated probability of an outcome. A contract trading at 23%, for example, indicates that the market is assigning that outcome roughly a 23% chance of occurring. If the prediction is correct, the contract settles at $1; if it is incorrect, it settles at $0.
How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?
At a traditional sportsbook, bettors wager against prices established by the bookmaker. Kalshi instead operates as an exchange, with users trading event contracts against other market participants.
Another major difference is the ability to exit a position before an event is finished. If the probability of your Cowboys vs. Giants position increases during the game, you can sell the contract rather than waiting for the final result.
Why trade Cowboys vs Giants at Kalshi?
Kalshi offers several features that distinguish prediction markets from traditional pro football betting:
- Live flexibility: Contracts can be bought and sold as market probabilities change throughout the game.
- Probability-based pricing: Markets display the estimated likelihood of an outcome rather than traditional American odds.
- Transparency: Prices are driven by trading activity between market participants.
- Federal regulation: Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated exchange.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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