One of the season's most anticipated games goes down at Lumen Field tonight, and our Chiefs vs. Seahawks expert picks have you covered for all the action on NBC.
Find out what NFL picks you need to make for this Oct. 25 showdown, and be sure to also read our complete Chiefs vs. Seahawks predictions.
Chiefs vs Seahawks expert picks
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, please see our odds calculator.
| Expert Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jason Logan: Seahawks ML |
58% |
 Josh Inglis: Mahomes 15+ rushing yards - YES |
51% |
 Joe Osborne: Under 42.5 |
53% |
 Jon Metler: Walker III anytime TD |
54% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Jason Logan’s expert pick: Seahawks moneyline
The Kansas City Chiefs have built a 5-0 record against several suspect defenses. The Seattle Seahawks are still an elite stop unit with extra time to rest and prep off a TNF loss.
Mike Macdonald is getting excellent pass pressure from a four-man rush, which has been Patrick Mahomes' kryptonite over the years.
Josh Inglis' expert pick: Patrick Mahomes 15+ rushing yards - YES
The Chiefs haven't faced the toughest schedule lately, with their last four opponents going 4-18 SU this season. Mahomes hasn't needed to use his legs much, but Sunday night's matchup against Seattle should create more passing opportunities and a more neutral game script for a team with one of the lowest dropback rates in football.
His rushing market has fallen, yet he's topped this number in 60% of his games, even with a healthy dose of kneel-downs eating into his totals during victories.
He projects for 23 rushing yards, with a fair probability of 59% to reach 15+. I can picture it now: third-and-short, play-action to Kenneth Walker, and Mahomes busts a big gain on the bootleg.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Under 42.5
Cris Collinsworth can pump the quarterbacks’ tires all night, but I’m backing the defenses. Seattle ranks first in yards allowed per play while K.C. is sixth, and both crack the top 10 in third-down defense.
The Seahawks are home on extra rest and off a loss, giving Mahomes his toughest test of the season. Kansas City has held three opponents to 10 points or fewer, while Sam Darnold has seven interceptions on the season and 13 sacks in his last three games.
Seattle has scored just 27 total points in two prime-time appearances.
More SNF picks
- Chiefs vs. Seahawks props
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- Sunday Night Football best bets: Week 7
- Chiefs vs. Seahawks player prop projections
- Chiefs vs. Seahawks prediction and top picks
Jon Metler’s expert pick: Kenneth Walker III anytime touchdown
Kenneth Walker is trading at 54% on Kalshi to score a touchdown on Sunday Night Football, and I'll hit the button at that price, as I make him closer to 60% to find the end zone.
There's no need to overthink this one. The Super Bowl MVP is returning to Seattle to face the team that didn't want to pay him, and I expect the Chiefs to make his homecoming memorable.
Andy Reid is one of the most creative red-zone play-callers in NFL history, and Kansas City strikes me as a team that would go out of its way to get Walker into the end zone in his return to Seattle.
How to watch Chiefs vs Seahawks
| Location | Lumen Field, Seattle, WA |
| Date | Sunday, Oct. 25, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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