My Chiefs vs. Seahawks anytime touchdown scorer predictions focus on undefeated Kansas City visiting Seattle on Sunday, October 25, at 8:20 p.m. ET.
The Seahawks are 2.5-point favorites at Lumen Field, with the total set at 42.5.
Kenneth Walker III's revenge game headlines our Chiefs vs. Seahawks predictions and NFL picks, alongside Seattle's top offensive weapon and a superstar long shot.
Best Chiefs vs Seahawks anytime touchdown picks
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Kenneth Walker III |
56% |
 Jaxon Smith-Njigba |
45% |
| First TD: Kenneth Walker III |
17% |
| Long shot: George Holani |
18% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Chiefs touchdown pick: Kenneth Walker III
This is the ultimate Revenge Game for Kenneth Walker III, who won Super Bowl MVP with the Seattle Seahawks last season.
But with the Kansas City Chiefs willing to pay Walker what the Seahawks wouldn't, he took his talents to Kansas City this offseason.
And man, has that investment paid off for the Chiefs. Walker boasts a league-best 665 rushing yards, averaging 6.3 yards per carry with eight total touchdowns (six rushing and two receiving).
Walker's touches shouldn't decrease, especially with Kansas City paying him handsomely and missing two wide receivers in Tyquan Thornton and Rashee Rice.
Seahawks touchdown pick: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is just too good for his anytime touchdown prop to be below 50%. The reigning NFL Offensive Player of the Year has a league-best seven touchdown catches this season and has scored at least once in four games.
Smith-Njigba is Pro Football Focus's second-highest-graded wide receiver among 108 qualifiers, and he'll "get his" regardless of who's defending him. That said, JSN faces a Kansas City secondary that saw both starting cornerbacks depart in free agency this offseason.
I don't expect Seattle to score a ton, but that's exactly why I'd rather put my touchdown exposure on JSN than any other Seahawk.
First touchdown scorer pick: Kenneth Walker III
Kansas City has featured Walker too heavily for me to overthink this. He should get plenty of opportunities regardless of game script, including valuable touches around the goal line.
Sure, you could chase one of the longer first-touchdown prices, but Walker's 5.25x payout is good enough for me.
I'd rather take the shorter price on the player most likely to handle Kansas City's biggest scoring opportunities, especially with a longer-shot I like looming further down the board.
Long-shot touchdown pick: Patrick Mahomes
Speaking of superstars balling out on the national stage, give me Patrick Mahomes' anytime touchdown prop up to 20%. With this matchup featuring three of the last four Super Bowl champs, I'm counting on Mahomes using his legs more on Sunday.
He already has one rushing touchdown this season. However, Mahomes has nine career rushing touchdowns in 44 primetime games, along with seven in 21 career playoff games.
I also wouldn't put it past Chiefs head coach Andy Reid to dial up a trick play that gets Mahomes involved as a ball-carrier or pass-catcher. Reid is known to pull out the good plays in big games.
Chiefs vs Seahawks touchdown combo
Kenneth Walker III
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Walker has become the centerpiece of Kansas City's offense, and a revenge game against his former team gives the Chiefs another reason to keep feeding him around the goal line. On the other side, Seattle's scoring opportunities should funnel toward JSN, who's clearly its most dangerous weapon.
The strategy is to avoid getting cute with longer-shot scorers and instead pair the two players most likely to command touches when their offenses reach scoring range.
If this game lives up to the prime-time stage, these are the two stars I want carrying the touchdown equity.
- TD picks: 16-34, -10.28 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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