Week 16 throws in a double-dip on Saturday night.
While you can easily avoid the Eagles vs. Commanders, the nightcap of the Green Bay Packers vs. the Chicago Bears is going to be tough to ignore.
Read along as I delve into the latest Caleb Williams odds and dish out some free NFL picks for December 20.
Caleb Williams prop pick
Caleb Williams best bet: Over 1.5 touchdown passes (+102 at FanDuel)
Any touchdown toss the second-year pro has from now till the end of the regular season will add to his career-high, which he passed last week with his 21st in the Chicago Bears' 31-3 romp over Cleveland.
Caleb Williams gets his second crack at the Green Bay Packers in three weeks, and it's the only loss on his slate in the last seven weeks.
Williams wasn't exactly lights out on the road, going 19-for-35 for 186 yards, though he did throw for a pair of TDs against one interception in the 28-21 defeat at Lambeau.
I'm actually surprised he has plus-odds to hit two TD passes again. Williams has thrown for at least two touchdowns in three of his last four games.
More importantly, though, the centerpiece of that Green Bay defense, Micah Parsons, is gone for the year after tearing his ACL last week in the Packers' loss at Denver.
That's a significant blow to the Packers' pass rush, allowing Ben Johnson to open up the playbook to calls that might take a little bit more time to develop, and letting Williams push the ball downfield.
Williams should, at the least, match his TD pass total from the last meeting.
Caleb Williams same-game parlay
Caleb Williams Over 1.5 touchdown passes
Caleb Williams Over 212.5 passing yards
DJ Moore anytime touchdown
Johnson has, at times, insulated Williams from taking over games, some to protect his quarterback, and other times to utilize the second-best rushing attack in the NFL.
The result is zero 300-yard games this season. But he's got a generous passing line of 212.5 yards Saturday, a number he's topped five times in his last eight starts.
One of those misses was against these Packers when he threw for just 186 yards, but he's crossed this prop line in three straight home starts.
Williams won't have his top target for the year, Rome Odunze, who's already been ruled out with a foot injury.
We know DJ Moore will be busy, but so do the books, giving him a less-juiced -180 line for over 3.5 receptions.
Instead, we find better odds with the veteran wide receiver scoring a TD (+125). Moore broke out of a two-game mini-funk with four catches for 69 yards and two scores against the Browns.
He has four TD grabs over the last four games and is Chicago's leader in the red zone for routes run and targets since mid-November.
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