The first edition of Monday Night Football features a classic AFC West showdown between the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead.
Our Broncos vs. Chiefs computer picks crunch the numbers on a plethora of Broncos vs. Chiefs props available for tonight's clash, headlined by quarterbacks Bo Nix and Patrick Mahomes.
Make sure to also check out our Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions ahead of the 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff.
Broncos vs Chiefs computer picks for Week 1
 Broncos |
 Chiefs |
|---|---|
| Bo Nix o224.5 passing yards 57% |
Patrick Mahomes o14.5 rushing yards 50% |
| RJ Harvey o19.5 rushing yards 47% |
Kenneth Walker o59.5 rushing yards 57% |
| Jaylen Waddle o4.5 receptions 53% |
Rashee Rice anytime TD 35% |
Broncos computer picks
Bo Nix Over 224.5 passing yards
Projection: 240.13 receiving yards
Bo Nix is also returning from a serious injury, but our model sees this as another five-star play. The basis is we predict the Denver Broncos to be third-highest pass-focused tean on the Week 1 slate, meaning plenty of air yards for Nix.
RJ Harvey Over 19.5 rushing yards
Projection: 24.09 yards
While not the biggest edge on the board, there's still value here. RJ Harvey recorded 20+ rushing yards in 10 games last season, and he should get enough run splitting carries with JK Dobbins.
🔥 Bet harvey rushing yards now
Jaylen Waddle Over 4.5 receptions
Projection: 4.93 receptions
Jaylen Waddle joined the Broncos in the offseason, and our porjections see hm making an impact in his Denver debut.
Waddle eclipsed five receptions nine times last season on a bad Miami team, and he's in a much better spot now.
Chiefs computer picks
Patrick Mahomes Over 14.5 rushing yards
Projection: 23.65 yards
Despite a surgically-repaired knee, our projections believe Patrick Mahomes can still escape trouble. He'll need to with how good the Broncos' D-line looks on paper.
🏈 Bet mahomes rushing yards now
Kenneth Walker Over 59.5 rushing yards
Projection: 71.24 rushing yards
Our NFL prop projections have this play at 25.23% +EV, making it a five-star play. There's a reason Jason Logan added this specific Kenneth Walker prop to our NFL picks page.
🔥 Bet walker rushing yards now
Rashee Rice anytime touchdown
Projection: 0.51 touchdowns
Rashee Rice is ready to shut the haters up as he slots into the WR1 role for the Kansas City Chiefs. At 35%, this pick is a four-star play.
Not intended for use in MA.
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