Week 3 of the college football season features a marquee showdown as the No. 6 Georgia Bulldogs head to Knoxville to face the No. 15 Tennessee Volunteers under the lights.
Our Georgia vs. Tennessee predictions break down the best betting angles for your college football picks ahead of Saturday, September 13.
Georgia vs Tennessee Week 3 predictions
- Georgia -4.5 (-102 at FanDuel)
- Under 49.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
- Stockton u20.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
- Star Thomas anytime TD (-114 at FanDuel)
Georgia vs Tennessee best bets
Georgia -4.5 (-102 at FanDuel)
Georgia has covered the spread in every matchup against Heupel’s Tennessee Volunteers. Not only that, the Bulldogs have cleared the spread by an average of 8.6 points in those four matchups.
Credit to Georgia’s defense, as shocking as that obviously isn’t. Head coach Kirby Smart trusts his defensive backs in coverage against Tennessee’s receivers, and he has defensive backs worthy of that trust.
That leaves the Volunteers overly dependent on their run game, which, while improved, is not an efficient enough one to drive an offense. Very few run games are in any given season, perhaps six or eight total. Tennessee is not one of them.
Thus, the Volunteers have fallen an average of 10 points short of their Team Total before garbage time in those four meetings. Even with garbage time, that is a lofty 8.25 points short of their Team Total.
Gunner Stockton is a step backward for Georgia, but the Bulldogs are used to playing complementary football, relying on their defense to create a few short fields and capitalizing on those.
When holding an opponent to no more than 17 points in four straight meetings, that recipe creates ATS wins as well as outright wins. It should for a fifth time on Saturday.
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Under 49.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
Georgia still hopes to prove this wrong, but anyone who watched Gunner Stockton in the Sugar Bowl last year knows that the Bulldogs took a significant step backward at quarterback this season.
Georgia vs Tennessee TD pick
Star Thomas (+125 at FanDuel)
A touchdown from Tennessee running back Star Thomas may seem odd when effectively betting a Tennessee Team Total Under, but realize the Vols have not thrown a touchdown pass against the Bulldogs in their last three matchups, while rushing for four.
Georgia vs Tennessee prop pick
Gunner Stockton Under 20.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
In Georgia’s opener against Marshall, Gunner Stockton looked like a true dual-threat quarterback, running for 73 yards and two scores. But while Stockton definitely can run the ball, I don’t think we should expect him to compile too many yards on the ground in general.
Even in last week’s win over Austin Peay, Stockton threw the ball more and ran just five times for 13 yards. And looking back to 2024, the Junior ran the ball 21 times for a combined -13 yards in total, and never managed more than 10 yards in a game or more than a single yard per carry in any contest.
As a result, I don’t see Georgia making Stockton’s running game a big part of its offense plan. That’s especially true against a Tennessee defense that will be missing two starting cornerbacks for Saturday’s game.
That should encourage the Bulldogs to unleash Stockton and weapons like Zachariah Branch in the passing game, without putting wear on Stockton on designed runs. I’m taking the Under on the QB’s rushing yardage total.
Georgia vs Tennessee odds
Georgia vs Tennessee game info
| Location: | Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN |
| Date: | Saturday, September 13, 2025 |
| Kickoff: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ABC |
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