College Football Win Totals Odds 2026: Texas Favored to Reach Double Digit Wins

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 15, 2026 , 10:44 AM ET • 4 min read

NCAAF win total markets for 2026 are here, with the highest total belonging to Notre Dame. Meanwhile, Texas has improved its stock significantly following a win over Ohio State.

College football win totals Texas Longhorns Raleek Brown
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Texas Longhorns running back Raleek Brown.

College football win totals are available at Kalshi, one of our best prediction market sites, for the top programs in the country.

The Texas-Ohio State game predictably caused massive reverberations in this market, with the Longhorns' stock skyrocketing, and the Buckeyes' stock plummeting. 

Meanwhile, Notre Dame is expected to flirt with a perfect regular season, with the "Yes" option for 12+ wins trading at 36% in the college football odds.

Here's a look at the latest college football win totals for 2026.

College football win totals and odds for 2026

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Team Total Yes
Crimson Tide Alabama 9+ 60%
Bulldogs Georgia 11+ 50%
Hoosiers Indiana 11+ 50%
Tigers LSU 9+ 63%
Hurricanes Miami 11+ 59%
Fighting Irish Notre Dame 12+ 36%
Buckeyes Ohio State 11+ 24%
Ducks Oregon 11+ 46%
Longhorns Texas 10+ 63%
Red Raiders Texas Tech 11+ 53%

Odds courtesy of Kalshi as of 9-15.

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College football win totals movement

  • Texas went from 47% to win 10+ games to 63% after defeating Ohio State in Week 2. The Buckeyes went from 42% to 24% to reach 11+ wins.
  • Georgia and Indiana have both seen their 11+ win stock rise a few points to 50% after rolling to 2-0 starts.
  • Oregon tumbled from 46% to win 11+ games to just 7% after a stunning loss to Oklahoma State.

College football win totals prediction

The SMU Mustangs return over 60% of a team that went 9-4 last year, including quarterback Kevin Jennings. Three of those four losses were by one score.

SMU avoids ACC heavyweights Miami and Clemson this year. Even if they lose both of their games vs. ranked opponents (at Louisville, at Notre Dame), a 10-win season is still within reach. Play to 45%.

Pick: SMU 10+ wins (40% at Kalshi)

College football win totals history

Check out Sports Odds History for a look at 2025 win total information, including opening lines and final results.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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