Bowl-game rematches aren’t unheard of, but conference rematches in bowl season are far rarer.
Yet, thanks to a shortage of bowl-eligible teams and a glut of 5–7 programs, we find ourselves here, with an invitation to the Birmingham Bowl producing a matchup against the Georgia Southern Eagles.
The Appalachian State Mountaineers taking this opportunity may be fun on the surface, but with so much of their offense missing, my Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State predictions doubt the Mountaineers having fun at kickoff.
Read more in my college football picks for Monday, December 29.
Georgia Southern vs App State predictions for the Birmingham Bowl
Who will win the Birmingham Bowl?
Georgia Southern held on for a 25-23 win at Appalachian State in November. “Held on” is an appropriate verb choice, given the Eagles had a 19-0 lead in the second quarter.
However, the win was still more dominant than the final score implies; the Mountaineers never had the ball with a chance to tie the game, a touchdown in the last two minutes glossing up the final score.
With Appalachian State likely down its top two quarterbacks as well as its best receiver, expect Georgia Southern to replicate that November result.
Georgia Southern vs App State best bet: Georgia Southern -7.5 (-115)
Georgia Southern was a five-point underdog at Appalachian State to start November. What could possibly justify swinging a spread 12.5 points since then?
First of all, a neutral site moves this line at least three points toward the Eagles. Secondly, power ratings tightened the gap between these two teams by a point throughout November, a conservative reflection of the Mountaineers going 1-2-1 against the spread in the final four games of the year while Georgia Southern went 3-1 ATS.
That still leaves at least a touchdown of movement to explain.
Chalk that up to Appalachian State’s offense suffering significant losses to opt-outs. Its top two quarterbacks are not expected to play. Multiple skill position players are either opting out or injured.
This is the natural result of players expecting their season to end on Nov. 29, only to learn eight days later that they’ll be playing in a rivalry rematch. Decisions were being made in that interim.
Those decisions should lead to a Birmingham Bowl blowout.
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Georgia Southern vs App State same-game parlay
Consider this doubt that Appalachian State scores 20 points.
Georgia Southern vs App State SGP
- Georgia Southern -7.5
- Under 59.5
Georgia Southern vs App State odds
- Spread: Georgia Southern -7.5 (-110) | App State +7.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Georgia Southern -290 | App State +235
- Over/Under: Over 59.5 (-110) | Under 59.5 (-110)
Georgia Southern vs App State trend to know
Four of Georgia Southern’s final five games went Under their totals. Find more college football betting trends for Georgia Southern vs App State.
How to watch Georgia Southern vs App State
| Location | Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL |
| Date | Monday, December 29, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 2:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
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