A matchup that once looked pretty has turned ugly as we approach tip-off, with the New York Knicks seemingly miles ahead of the Golden State Warriors.
Our NBA player prop projections for Warriors vs. Knicks help you make your NBA picks for this prime-time showdown on Sunday, March 15.
Be sure to also check out our complete Warriors vs. Knicks predictions.
Warriors vs Knicks computer picks for March 15
 Warriors |
 Knicks |
|---|---|
| Quinten Post o10.5 points -110 |
Mikal Bridges o11.5 points -120 |
| Quinten Post o1.5 threes -160 |
Jalen Brunson u7.5 assists -110 |
| Gui Santos o5.5 rebounds -150 |
Mitchell Robinson o4.5 points -112 |
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Warriors computer picks
Quinten Post Over 10.5 points (-110)
Projection: 13.4
The Golden State Warriors' injury report is looking like a grocery list, which means plenty of minutes for able bodies.
No Al Horford and Draymond Green means Quinten Post is in line for a big minutes bump. Someone will need to score, and Post will be that guy.
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Quinten Post Over 1.5 threes (-160)
Projection: 2.4
More playing time means more shots for the 7-footer, who hasn't shied away from letting it fly when needed. Post has hit two threes multiple times this season, and he's in line to do so again tonight at MSG.
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Gui Santos Over 5.5 rebounds (-150)
Projection: 6.7
Gui Santos will also get a big minutes bump tonight, and he's in line for a big night on the boards.
Santos has started in five straight for the shorthanded Dubs, clearing this rebound total in three of them. The biggest outing came when he snared 11 boards in 37 minutes vs. OKC.
His minutes will be in the high 30s again, giving him ample time to clean the glass.
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Knicks computer picks
Mikal Bridges Over 11.5 points (-120)
Projection: 14.3
A string of rough games has dropped Mikal Bridges' points line to 11.5, which provides us with an excellent buyback spot.
The 29-year-old is still averaging 15 points per game, and our projections have him scoring nearly three more points than his line.
Bridges will get four to six threes up, and his 38% three-point shooting tells us he'll hit enough of those to get him close to or Over this number.
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Jalen Brunson Under 7.5 assists (-110)
Projection: 6.7
Jalen Brunson has been racking up the dimes over the last month, but our projections call for him to go Under 7.5 assists tonight.
While he can reach this total with ease, he may not need to. The Knicks are 14.5-point favorites, and there's a world where Brunson and the rest of the starters sit the entire fourth quarter. It's hard to get assists with your ass planted on the bench.
Mitchell Robinson Over 4.5 points (-112)
Projection: 5.7
As mentioned, the Warriors are missing a majority of their interior defense. This opens the door for New York to run some of its offense through Mitchell Robinson. The big man will also be feeling himself after posting a career high in points on Friday.
Three buckets cash this prop, and the line is too low for us not to jump on it.
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How to watch Warriors vs Knicks
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
| Date | Sunday, March 15, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Not intended for use in MA.
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