Warriors vs Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Norman Powell is having a career season so far in his first year with the Heat, averaging north of 25 points per game. Against a Warriors team potentially missing Steph Curry, we like him to go off again.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Nov 19, 2025 • 08:22 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 9 hrs
MIA
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GS
48 %
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Norman Powell Miami Heat NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Heat G Norman Powell during the fourth quarter vs. the Knicks.

Norman Powell has been balling out in his first season with the Miami Heat.

Warriors vs Heat predictions expect him to keep it rolling tonight at Kaseya Center against the visiting Golden State Warriors. 

Read more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, November 19.

Warriors vs Heat prediction

Warriors vs Heat best bet: Norman Powell Over 22.5 points (-120)

Norman Powell has always been a solid player, but all he needed was a primary role to fully realize his potential. The guard is having a career campaign at 32 years of age, averaging 25.5 points per game for the Heat. 

The veteran is averaging 26 PPG in November, and he’s cashed the Over in points in four of his last six appearances. Powell even erupted for 38 points last Friday against the New York Knicks. 

The Golden State Warriors could be without Stephen Curry tonight due to an ankle injury, which also gives Powell more of an opportunity to ball out if Curry isn’t guarding him on the perimeter. Plus, Bam Adebayo is questionable for Miami, which also means more usage for Powell. 

Powell is also averaging 25.8 PPG at home in 2025-26, compared to 25 PPG on the road. He’ll put together another standout performance.

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Warriors vs Heat same-game parlay

Pelle Larsson isn’t a household name, but he’s carved out a nice role for himself in Miami. The sophomore is averaging 10.1 points per night on 38% shooting from downtown, averaging 1.2 makes on 3.1 attempts per contest. 

Larsson is shooting over 50% over his last three, and he’s cashed the Over in converted triples in each game. The Warriors are decent at defending the triple, but opponents are shooting 37% from long range on the road. 

Davion Mitchell is a sparkplug for the Heat. Although he’s not much of a rebounder at his size, there’s serious value in the Over tonight. He’s averaging 2.9 boards per game, and the young guard has hit the Over in rebounds in three consecutive outings.

Warriors vs Heat SGP

  • Norman Powell Over 22.5 points
  • Pelle Larsson Over 1.5 threes
  • Davion Mitchell Over 2.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: The Butler did it

Revenge game for Butler in Miami, and he just balled out for 33 points on Tuesday.

Warriors vs Heat SGP

  • Norman Powell Over 22.5 points
  • Pelle Larsson Over 1.5 threes
  • Davion Mitchell Over 2.5 rebounds
  • Jimmy Butler Over 21.5 points

Warriors vs Heat odds

  • Spread: Warriors +6.5 (-110) | Heat -6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Warriors +190 | Heat -230
  • Over/Under: Over 232.5 (-110) | Under 232.5 (-110)

Warriors vs Heat betting trend to know

The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Heat.

How to watch Warriors vs Heat

Location Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Date Wednesday, November 19, 2025
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC Sports Bay Area, FDSN Sun

Warriors vs Heat latest injuries

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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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