Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst 20+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 22, 2026 , 01:23 PM ET • 4 min read

Krest's prediction: Even if the Nuggets are back to full strength, it won't be enough to cover the 9-point spread vs. the Trail Blazers.

NBA

Match starts: 2 hrs
POR
37 %
DEN
63 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Portland +9.0 (-110) Portland +9.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
Donovan Clingan Portland Trail Blazers NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Portland Trail Blazers center Donovan Clingan (23) shoots the ball while Indiana Pacers center Jay Huff (32) defends.

The Portland Trail Blazers finish a five-game road trip at Ball Arena against the Denver Nuggets, looking to continue their hot streak.

Portland has won four of five, including the last three on the road. The Blazers have moved into eighth place and are looking to improve their seeding for the postseason Play-In tournament. 

My Trail Blazers at Nuggets predictions and NBA picks look for the Blazers to cover as a road dog on Sunday, March 22.

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets prediction

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets best bet: Trail Blazers +9 (-110)

In addition to winning three straight, the Portland Trail Blazers have covered their last two as underdogs.

The Blazers can get back to .500, highlighting their improvement since the calendar flipped to 2026. They started the year six games below .500, but have been revived by Donovan Clingan, who leads the NBA in rebounds and is second in blocks since January 1.

While the Denver Nuggets could have their lineup intact for the first time since Nov. 12, Peyton Watson might not be at 100%, and Nikola Jokic has struggled with turnovers and poor shooting with the constantly changing cast around him.

Denver may win, but it'll hardly be a blowout.

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Trail Blazers vs Nuggets same-game parlay

Portland has the No. 8 pace in the league, but things have slowed down on this trip. Three of the Blazers’ four games have had totals of 212 or less, and Portland has gone Under in three of them. Denver is 22nd in pace, so it won’t be pushing the tempo. 

Deni Avdija is averaging 7.0 rebounds and has 19 in the last two games. He hasn’t had fewer than six boards in the last five. The odds for his rebounding prop seem unusually generous, so we’ll jump on that low-hanging fruit.

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets SGP

  • Trail Blazers +9
  • Under 239.5
  • Deni Avdija Over 6.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: Joker's Wild

With the starting five finally intact again, look for Jokic to be more comfortable on the floor. Before the injuries started in November, he was averaging 13.1 rebounds, 10.9 assists, and had scored 30 or more in five of six games.

Since then, he’s down half an assist and more than half a rebound per night, and he’s topped 30 just 17 times in 30 games. Getting the gang back should help him find his old form.

His turnovers, up to 4.7 a game in March, should come down, and he’ll be more productive. His 3-point shooting didn’t fall off as much as his 2-point accuracy, and he’s had three games with multiple threes in the last five.

His rebounding also didn’t fall off. He’s had eight games with a dozen or more in his 11 March contests, and he’s averaging 13 over the last five games.

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets SGP

  • Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 points
  • Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists
  • Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 made threes
  • Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 rebounds
  • Deni Avdija Over 7.5 rebounds

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets odds

  • Spread: Trail Blazers +9 (-110) | Nuggets -9 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Trail Blazers +320 | Nuggets -400
  • Over/Under: Over 239.5 (-110) | Under 239.5 (-110)

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets betting trend to know

The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games. Find more NBA betting trends for Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets.

How to watch Trail Blazers vs Nuggets

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Sunday, March 22, 2026
Tip-off 5:00 p.m. ET
TV BlazerVision, Altitude

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets latest injuries

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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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