NBA Best Bets Today: Top Picks From Every Game Preview

Kyle LaRusic - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Kyle LaRusic • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 15, 2026 , 02:27 PM ET • 4 min read

We’re backing the Lakers to win and the Spurs to cover as our experts break down six NBA best bets for Sunday’s slate.

NBA Top Picks Today
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Luka Doncic, Jalen Brunson, and Kevin Durant.

Sunday's NBA predictions feature six best bets, from the Lakers moneyline against Phoenix to a lower-scoring matchup between Dallas and Boston.

Find the reasoning behind each selection below, with more expert analysis available in our free NBA picks.

NBA top picks at a glance (Sunday, Nov. 15)

Matchup & time Top pick & analyst
Lakers vs. Suns
4 p.m. ET
Lakers moneyline
Chris Walder
Spurs vs. Jazz
5 p.m. ET
Spurs -15.5
Shawn Krest
Mavericks vs. Celtics
6 p.m. ET
Under 219.5
Ed Scimia
Knicks vs. Raptors
6 p.m. ET
Knicks -4.5
Chris Walder
Rockets vs. Wizards
7 p.m. ET
Rockets -7.5
Zak Hanshew
Thunder vs. Kings
9 p.m. ET
Thunder -10.5
Tom Oldfield

Picks courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.

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Lakers vs Suns pick: Lakers moneyline

  • Time: 4 p.m. ET
  • TV: Arizona's Family 3TV, Spectrum Sports Network
  • Analyst: Chris Walder

Top pick: Lakers moneyline

Chris Walder backs the Los Angeles Lakers to overcome Austin Reaves' absence and beat the Phoenix Suns, who rank last in rebounding at 38.9 per game.

Walker Kessler and Luka Doncic give Los Angeles a size advantage that Walder expects to create extra possessions and opportunities in transition.

With Doncic averaging 38.6 points, Walder is comfortable buying the moneyline up to 60% in his Lakers vs. Suns predictions.

Spurs vs Jazz pick: Spurs -15.5

  • Time: 5 p.m. ET
  • TV: DAZN-San Antonio, KJZZ
  • Analyst: Shawn Krest

Top pick: Spurs -15.5

Shawn Krest is laying 15.5 points with the San Antonio Spurs, who bring an 11-game winning streak into a matchup with a Utah Jazz team that has lost 11 straight.

San Antonio has already beaten Utah by 22 points this month, while the Jazz have covered just three times during their losing streak.

With Lauri Markkanen and Jaxson Hayes ruled out, Utah's depleted frontcourt gives Krest another reason to back the Spurs, who remain playable up to -17.5 in his Spurs vs. Jazz predictions.

Mavericks vs Celtics pick: Under 219.5

  • Time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV: MavsTV+, NBCS-Boston
  • Analyst: Ed Scimia

Top pick: Under 219.5

Ed Scimia expects the Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics to keep this game in the half court, with neither team inclined to push the pace.

Boston is allowing a league-low 103.1 points per game and holding opponents to 41.9% shooting, while Dallas has limited opponents to 33.2% from 3-point range. 

Those defensive strengths support Under 219.5, which Scimia would play down to 217.5 in his Mavericks vs. Celtics predictions.

Knicks vs Raptors pick: Knicks -4.5

Top pick: Knicks -4.5

Chris Walder likes the New York Knicks to extend their dominance over the Toronto Raptors after winning 13 straight meetings and covering in 12 of them.

Toronto has allowed 119.3 points per 100 possessions over its last four games, giving New York an opportunity to recover from consecutive losses.

The Knicks' advantage from beyond the arc and Toronto's 0-4 record against top-10 defenses underpin Walder's -4.5 selection, which he'd play up to -6.5 in his Knicks vs. Raptors predictions.

Rockets vs Wizards pick: Rockets -7.5

Top pick: Rockets -7.5

Zak Hanshew backs the Houston Rockets to exploit the Washington Wizards' interior defense through Alperen Sengun, who has averaged 27.3 points and 12 rebounds over his last three games.

Houston ranks third in offensive rating and eighth in defensive rating, while Washington sits 26th in defensive rebounding percentage and has surrendered 51.4 points in the paint per game.

That matchup leads Hanshew to Rockets -7.5, with room to play up to -9.5 in his Rockets vs. Wizards predictions.

Thunder vs Kings pick: Thunder -10.5

  • Time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV: KSBI, Thunder App
  • Analyst: Tom Oldfield

Top pick: Thunder -10.5

Tom Oldfield expects the Oklahoma City Thunder to end their three-game skid against the Sacramento Kings, who are 1-11 and have lost five straight.

Oklahoma City has won eight consecutive meetings, covering six, and holds opponents to a league-low 41.7% shooting. 

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is coming off a 40-point game, and Sacramento's struggles defending the paint support Oldfield's Thunder -10.5 pick, which remains playable up to -11.5 in his Thunder vs. Kings predictions.

More NBA picks

Want to build a bigger card? These Covers roundups cover every bet type for today's games:

Check the NBA injury report before finalizing today's picks.

All of today’s matchups are also on the NBA scores and matchups page, and the full pick archive lives in free NBA picks.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Kyle LaRusic - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.

Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.

Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.

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