Sunday's NBA player props card features a handful of plays from our analysts' game previews: Walker Kessler, Victor Wembanyama, and Isaiah Hartenstein on the glass, Karl-Anthony Towns from 3-point range, and scoring plays on Jayson Tatum and Reed Sheppard.
Below, you'll find each prop, the reasoning behind it, and where to watch. For more plays on today's slate, head to our full list of NBA picks.
NBA player props at a glance (Sunday, Nov. 15)
| Matchup & time | Player prop & analyst |
|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Suns 4 p.m. ET |
Walker Kessler Over 10.5 rebounds Chris Walder |
| Spurs vs. Jazz 5 p.m. ET |
Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds Shawn Krest |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics 6 p.m. ET |
Jayson Tatum 25+ points Ed Scimia |
| Knicks vs. Raptors 6 p.m. ET |
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes Chris Walder |
| Rockets vs. Wizards 7 p.m. ET |
Reed Sheppard Over 14.5 points Zak Hanshew |
| Thunder vs. Kings 9 p.m. ET |
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 10.5 rebounds Tom Oldfield |
Picks courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Lakers vs Suns prop: Walker Kessler Over 10.5 rebounds
- Time: 4 p.m. ET
- TV: Arizona's Family 3TV, Spectrum SportsNet
- Analyst: Chris Walder
Prop: Walker Kessler Over 10.5 rebounds
Only 10 players across the NBA are currently averaging 10-plus rebounds per game, and Walker Kessler sits sixth in that group at 10.8. Those boards come on 21.2 rebounding chances per game, which is 8.8 more than Luka Doncic and 12.9 more than any other Lakers player.
Chris Walder sees no reason Kessler can't clear 10.5 for the seventh time in nine games against a Suns team that's inept at giving him problems on the glass. He'd play the Over up to 59% in his Lakers vs. Suns predictions.
Spurs vs Jazz prop: Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds
- Time: 5 p.m. ET
- TV: DAZN-San Antonio, KJZZ
- Analyst: Shawn Krest
Prop: Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds
With Hayes and Markkanen out, the Jazz will be down a pair of 7-footers against Victor Wembanyama, who totaled 25 rebounds and 48 points in the first two games between these teams.
The injured Jazz bigs combined for 31 points and 13 boards the first time they played San Antonio, and Hayes had 11 boards without Markkanen in the second game. Wembanyama is averaging 12.5 rebounds in November and has 11 or more in five of seven games this month, and Shawn Krest backs him in his Spurs vs. Jazz predictions.
Mavericks vs Celtics prop: Jayson Tatum 25+ points
- Time: 6 p.m. ET
- TV: MavsTV+, NBCS-Boston
- Analyst: Ed Scimia
Prop: Jayson Tatum 25+ points
Jayson Tatum has had no trouble leading the Celtics on offense this season. The former No. 3 pick is averaging 26.3 points per game, back to the scoring level he enjoyed before missing most of last year with an injury. He also comes into today's game well rested, having not played since Wednesday.
The Mavericks are fine on defense, but they're hovering around average in most efficiency metrics, so Ed Scimia sees no reason Tatum will struggle against Dallas. He likes Tatum to score 25+ points at up to 65% in his Mavericks vs. Celtics predictions.
Knicks vs Raptors prop: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes
- Time: 6 p.m. ET
- TV: MSG, TSN
- Analyst: Chris Walder
Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes
If there's one thing plodding center Jakob Poeltl won't do much for the Raptors, it's leave the painted area to guard the 3-point line. That makes the Over on a 3-pointers-made prop for Karl-Anthony Towns even more enticing, on top of the fact that the All-Star big man has converted two or more triples in five straight games.
That's the type of hot streak and matchup advantage that makes this number an uncomplicated play. Chris Walder would play it up to 55% in his Knicks vs. Raptors predictions.
Rockets vs Wizards prop: Reed Sheppard Over 14.5 points
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV: SCHN, MNMT
- Analyst: Zak Hanshew
Prop: Reed Sheppard Over 14.5 points
Marcus Smart is serving a suspension and Fred VanVleet is out for rest, which means Reed Sheppard should get a spot start today. In his only game with both Smart and VanVleet sidelined, Sheppard started and logged 19 points in 30 minutes.
The third-year guard is averaging only 20 minutes per game, but he's scoring 16.4 points per 36 minutes. Against a soft Washington defense and potentially pushing for 30+ minutes once again, he should clear this line for the second time this season. Zak Hanshew would trade the line up to 15.5 in his Rockets vs. Wizards predictions.
Thunder vs Kings prop: Isaiah Hartenstein Over 10.5 rebounds
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
- TV: Thunder+, NBCS-California
- Analyst: Tom Oldfield
Prop: Isaiah Hartenstein Over 10.5 rebounds
The Thunder have counted on Isaiah Hartenstein for 30+ minutes in back-to-back outings, and his rebounding is a big reason why Oklahoma City ranks second in the league in defensive boards per game. The Kings sit 26th in that category.
Hartenstein is averaging 11.7 rebounds per game this month and has cashed this Over in eight of his last 11 contests. Tom Oldfield expects him to pad his tally while anchoring the visitors' second unit against the Sacramento bench, with the hosts' clunky shooting offering plenty of work on the glass. He'd play it up to 57% in his Thunder vs. Kings predictions.
More NBA picks
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Check the NBA injury report before finalizing today's picks.
All of today’s matchups are also on the NBA scores and matchups page, and the full pick archive lives in free NBA picks.
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