Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Thunder are flailing, but they'll have an easier time of things against the Pelicans. OKC's defense will stuff New Orleans' 3-point shooting, limiting Trey Murphy III's production.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jan 27, 2026 • 11:54 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 6 hrs
OKC
57 %
NO
43 %
Read Analysis
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. OKC G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) with possession.

The Oklahoma City Thunder live a charmed life, one in which no one really even notices that they have lost their last two games despite being double-digit favorites in both.

But the Pacers were highly motivated, and the Raptors are quietly decent. Neither piece of backhanded praise can be given to the New Orleans Pelicans.

My Pelicans vs. Thunder predictions and NBA picks for Tuesday, January 27, recognize Oklahoma City’s defensive trends, which may be relatively backfiring but are still hardly a worry.

Pelicans vs Thunder prediction

Pelicans vs Thunder best bet: Trey Murphy III Under 3.5 made threes (-145)

Amid the Oklahoma City Thunder's relative struggles, its 3-point defense has actually improved. The Thunder have long forced opponents to take an abundance of long-range looks, but they have cut down on those in recent weeks.

Has that been why Oklahoma City has been laying some eggs? Perhaps.

The usual trend of encouraging 3-point attempts was a direct and delightful byproduct of making life miserable in the paint. Opponents did not want to drive or attack the rim.

If that is less of a misery now, that is a long-term worry for the Thunder.

Tonight, it could lead to New Orleans Pelicans forward Trey Murphy III living inside the arc more than expected. Fewer looks for Murphy should doom him to this Under.

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Pelicans vs Thunder same-game parlay

Whatever is going on in Oklahoma City — most likely something as simple as fatigue and/or malaise — the Thunder are 4-8 against the spread in their last 12, a stretch that has also seen Shai Gilgeous-Alexander fall short of this prop six times.

Pelicans vs Thunder SGP

  • Trey Murphy III Under 3.5 made threes
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 32.5 points
  • Pelicans +14.5

Our "from downtown" SGP: Thunderclapped

Gilgeous-Alexander has hit multiple 3-pointers in just three of his last 11 games. 

Pelicans vs Thunder SGP

  • Trey Murphy III Under 3.5 made threes
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 32.5 points
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 1.5 made threes
  • Pelicans +14.5
  • Thunder moneyline

Pelicans vs Thunder odds

  • Spread: Pelicans +14.5 (-110) | Thunder -14.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Pelicans +600 | Thunder -900
  • Over/Under: Over 233.5 (-110) | Under 233.5 (-110)

Pelicans vs Thunder betting trend to know

While the Thunder have lost outright as double-digit favorites in their last two games, the Pelicans have won outright as underdogs in their last two games. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Thunder.

How to watch Pelicans vs Thunder

Location Paycom Arena, Oklahoma City, OK
Date Tuesday, January 27, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV GCSEN, FDSN-OK

Pelicans vs Thunder latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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