It’s a Southwest Division showdown tonight at the Smoothie King Center as the Dallas Mavericks visit the New Orleans Pelicans.
We have two teams that aren’t great on either end, and I’ll explain in my Mavericks vs. Pelicans predictions and NBA picks why I see value in a low-scoring affair.
Mavericks vs Pelicans prediction
Mavericks vs Pelicans best bet: Under 239 (-110)
The Dallas Mavericks rank just 24th in the Association in points with 113.2 per night, while the New Orleans Pelicans aren’t much better at 115.4. Defensively, they’re also both in the bottom half of the league.
Most importantly, recent meetings have a common trend — low-scoring. Five of the last six meetings have comfortably cashed the Under. This season, they’ve battled it out three times, and all of those meetings hit the Under.
In fact, Dallas and New Orleans haven’t combined for more than 233 points once this season across those three contests.
Mavericks vs Pelicans same-game parlay
Cooper Flagg is having a stellar rookie campaign. He’s averaging 20.2 ppg, and the No. 1 overall pick just cooked the Cavaliers for 27 and 25 points over the last two games.
The youngster has faced the Pelicans three times this season, and he’s averaging 21.7 ppg. He’ll cook tonight.
Trey Murphy III is an elite 3-point shooter. He’s averaging 3.3 makes on 8.5 attempts per contest for a 38.8% clip. In March, across seven appearances, he’s shooting 47.4% from downtown while averaging 3.9 makes.
The 25-year-old has cashed the Over in four of his last five appearances.
Mavericks vs Pelicans SGP
- Under 239
- Cooper Flagg Over 20.5 points
- Trey Murphy III Over 3.5 threes
Our "from downtown" SGP: Capture the Flagg!
Flagg has cashed for Over in assists in two of his last three, and he just dropped 10 dimes against the Cavs yesterday.
Mavericks vs Pelicans SGP
- Under 239
- Cooper Flagg Over 20.5 points
- Trey Murphy III Over 3.5 threes
- Cooper Flagg Over 5.5 assists
Mavericks vs Pelicans odds
- Spread: Mavericks +8.5 | Pelicans -8.5
- Moneyline: Mavericks +275 | Pelicans -350
- Over/Under: Over 239 | Under 239
Mavericks vs Pelicans betting trend to know
The Mavericks have gone Under the total in 13 of their last 18 road games for +7.5 units and a 38% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Pelicans.
How to watch Mavericks vs Pelicans
| Location | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA |
| Date | Monday, March 16, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | KFAA, GCSEN |
Mavericks vs Pelicans latest injuries
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