Kings vs Mavericks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Kings have dropped their crown, losing 17-of-18 with buckets extremely hard to come by. Things won't get easier against a surprsingly stingy Dallas Mavericks team and that has me looking at the Sac-Town team total.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Feb 26, 2026 • 14:26 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 4 hrs
SAC
36 %
DAL
64 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
Sacramento u114.5 (-115)
Read Analysis
DeMar DeRozan Sacramento Kings NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. DeMar DeRozan (10) drives through conact against Houston.

Want to know how bad the Sacramento Kings are these days?

The Dallas Mavericks are without Cooper Flagg and PJ Washington, with a few other guys banged up, and they're still favored by a touchdown tonight.

My Kings vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks break down why it will be another long night for Sacramento on Thursday, February 26.

Kings vs Mavericks prediction

Kings vs Mavericks best bet: Kings team total Under 114.5 (-115)

The Sacramento Kings are down bad. They’ve lost 17 of 18, and Domantas Sabonis and De’Andre Hunter are out for the season.

The Kings have the third-worst offensive rating over the last 13 games and are averaging just 106.8 points over that stretch.

While the Dallas Mavericks have all the struggles of a young team, they’ve been surprisingly stingy, ranking eighth in opponent effective field goal percentage and 14th in defensive rating.

The Kings have a team total of 114.5. It’s tough to see them going Over, as it's a number they’ve stayed Under in nine of their last 13.

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Kings vs Mavericks same-game parlay

A bad offense means lots of rebounds, which is something else the Kings don’t do well, ranking 28th in rebounding rate.

Marvin Bagley III has been getting more of a run with all the Mavs' injuries and has pulled down double-digit boards in two of his last three games.

Meanwhile, one of the newest Mavs, Khris Middleton, has topped this number of 4.5 in four of his last five games.

Kings vs Mavericks SGP

  • Kings team total Under 114.5
  • Marvin Bagley III Over 8.5 rebounds
  • Khris Middleton Over 4.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: I'm seeing double-double

Both teams struggle to defend the paint. Bagley has a double-double in two of his last three, while Precious Achiuwa has two in his last four.

Kings vs Mavericks SGP

  • Marvin Bagley Jr. double-double
  • Precious Achiuwa double-double

Kings vs Mavericks odds

  • Spread: Kings +7 (-105) | Mavericks -7 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Kings +230 | Mavericks -270
  • Over/Under: Over 236 (-110) | Under 236 (-110)

Kings vs Mavericks betting trend to know

The Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games for +11.50 Units and a 20% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Mavericks.

How to watch Kings vs Mavericks

Location American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Date Thursday, February 26, 2026
Tip-off 8:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC Sports California, MavsTV

Kings vs Mavericks latest injuries

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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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