The Memphis Grizzlies and Boston Celtics have been tremendous over their last 10 games, and these inter-conference powerhouses clash at TD Garden tonight with no shortage of star power.
My Grizzlies vs. Celtics predictions expect Kristaps Porzingis to continue to do it all for the C's.
Read more in my NBA picks for December 7.
Grizzlies vs Celtics prediction
My best bet
Kristaps Porzingis Over 26.5 points+rebounds+assists (-115 at bet365)
My analysis
After missing the start of the season, Kristaps Porzingis made his season debut on November 25, and he’s appeared in four of the Boston Celtics' last six games.
In those games, he’s averaged 30.5 PRAs and cashed the Over on this prop in each of the last three. Porzingis logged only 23 minutes with a 16/6/2 line in his first game of the season, but since that game, he’s averaged 32.7 PRAs in 28.7 minutes.
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 14th-most points per game this season, including the ninth-most on the road.
Over the last three, Memphis has surrendered the 10th-most points to opponents. The Grizz have been vulnerable on the glass, allowing the eighth-most rebounds and third-most on the road.
Memphis has been an even more favorable matchup for opposing centers. The team has allowed 38.5 PRAs to big men on the season overall. Over the last seven games, the Grizzlies have allowed 43.01 PRAs, including the third-most points at 25.8.
Last season, Porzingis averaged 27.7 PRAs at home, so cashing this prop shouldn’t be a problem in this favorable matchup. He posted 34 PRAs at Memphis last season and 35 at home against the Grizz, comfortably hitting the Over on this line in both matchups.
Porzingis sat out Friday for the first leg of Boston’s back-to-back set, and Al Horford started at center. Horford will surely sit tonight, allowing Porzingis to slide back into the starting lineup and cruise to the Over here.
This line is set far too low, and I’m eager to take advantage.
Grizzlies vs Celtics same-game parlay
Kristaps Porzingis Over 26.5 points+rebounds+assists
Ja Morant Over 20.5 points
Celtics moneyline
Morant is averaging 20.9 points per game this season, and he’s hit the Over in seven of 13 games. Morant went for 31 and 25 in his last two outings on the road, and he’s got a great chance to hit the Over tonight in a matchup with a 239.5 implied point total.
Boston has a long history of beating Memphis, particularly at TD Garden. The Celtics have won nine of 10 against the Grizz and nine straight in Boston.
I’m very tempted to take Boston and the points, but the C's have been terrible ATS this season and are just 2-8 across their last 10. The ML is the far safer bet, but with odds at -260, it’s best to include it in a parlay rather than betting it straight up.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Grizzlies vs Celtics odds
Grizzlies vs Celtics live odds
Grizzlies vs Celtics opening odds
- Spread: Memphis +6.5 (-110) | Boston -6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Memphis +210 | Boston -260
- Over/Under: Over 239.5 (-110) | Under 239.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Grizzlies vs Celtics spread and Over/Under analysis
- Memphis is 8-2 straight up and 7-3 ATS over the last 10, bringing the team’s record to 15-8 straight up and 15-8 ATS.
- Boston has won nine of 10 but covered only once in that span, and the C’s sport a 19-4 record straight up at a 9-14 ATS record.
- The Grizzlies have hit the Over in five of their last 10, and the team is 14-9 to the Over on the season.
- The Celtics are 5-5 Over/Under across their last 10, and Boston has an 11-11-1 record through 23 games.
Grizzlies vs Celtics trend
The Celtics have won nine of their last 10 against the Grizzlies overall and nine straight in Boston. Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Celtics.
How to watch Grizzlies vs Celtics
| Location: | TD Garden, Boston, MA |
| Date: | Saturday, 12-7-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBC SPORTS BOSTON, FanDuel Sports Network - Southeast - Memphis |
Grizzlies vs Celtics latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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