The New York Knicks are on the verge of capturing the NBA championship after taking a commanding 3-1 series lead, but closing out a Finals opponent is rarely easy.
San Antonio returns home for Game 5 facing elimination, putting the spotlight on stars like Victor Wembanyama and Dylan Harper to keep the Spurs alive. On the other side, Karl-Anthony Towns continues to play a pivotal role in New York's offense as the Knicks look to finish the job.
Before placing your NBA picks, check out my Knicks vs. Spurs predictions and best bets for Game 5 on Saturday, June 13.
Knicks vs Spurs Expert Picks Tonight
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Jason Logan: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 17.5 points |
+100 |
| Jason Logan: Victor Wembanyama Over 28.5 points |
-105 |
 Douglas Farmer: Dylan Harper Over 3.5 assists |
+125 |
Odds courtesy of bet365.
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Jason Logan's expert pick: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 17.5 points
Price: +100 at bet365
Karl-Anthony Towns sat for most of the first half of Game 4 but was ready to roll in the second half, playing 18 of 24 minutes.
His offense, however, was understandably spotty, and much like Game 3, Towns couldn’t get into a rhythm. Mike Brown’s plan for Game 4 was to get Towns going early, but that went out the window.
I’m not backing off KAT in Game 5. He salvaged 13 points Wednesday, not too short of his total of 17.5, considering the circumstances.
Projections sit as high as 21+ with my number at 18.7 points, which should have Over 17.5 listed at -118.
Jason Logan's expert pick: Victor Wembanyama Over 28.5 points
Price: -105 at bet365
Victor Wembanyama scored 16 of his 24 total points in the opening half of Game 4, shooting 54.5% from the floor while collecting all three of his free-throw chances.
A glance at his shot chart in that opening 24 minutes shows a very efficient and analytics-friendly fire rate. He either attacked at the rim or let it fly from beyond the arc, shooting just 1-for-5 from deep in the first half.
Once the Wu-Tang Clan had finished igniting the Big Apple crowd during the halftime break, fatigue seemed to settle in for Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs. On top of more careless turnovers, the team’s shot selection was passive and leaned on long 3-pointers rather than the aggressive action that built the big lead.
Douglas Farmer's expert pick: Dylan Harper Over 3.5 assists
Price: +125 at bet365
Obviously and memorably, De’Aaron Fox had an ugly closing few minutes in Game 4 that likely cost the Spurs a win. But San Antonio head coach Mitch Johnson should already have been playing Fox fewer minutes and turning to Dylan Harper more often.
Harper is clearly the Spurs’ best guard in this series, outplaying both Fox and Stephon Castle. He has notched at least three assists in each of the last three games, playing 32 minutes in each and with a usage rate of at least 22.1% in them after playing only 28 minutes in Game 1 with a usage rate of 19.0%.
More Knicks vs Spurs Game 5 picks
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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