Twins vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 , 12:06 PM ET • 4 min read

Scimia's prediction: O's coast to Opening Day W.

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
MIN
40 %
BAL
60 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Baltimore -138 Baltimore -138
Read Analysis
Baltimore Orioles MLB Trevor Rogers
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Trevor Rogers.

The Baltimore Orioles will try to put a disappointing 2025 behind them as they host the Minnesota Twins on Opening Day.

Baltimore has a rejuvenated lineup and a budding ace on the mound today, so I’m taking it to win outright in my Twins vs. Orioles predictions.

Read on to take a closer look at today’s matchup in my free MLB picks for Thursday, March 26.

Twins vs Orioles predictions

Twins vs Orioles best bet: Orioles moneyline (-138)

While both teams underperformed badly last season, their prospects are very different coming into 2026.

The Minnesota Twins face an uphill climb in the AL Central, but the Baltimore Orioles are a trendy dark horse World Series pick.

Those hopes hinge on a bounce-back season for Gunnar Henderson, and the addition of slugger Pete Alonso to the middle of the lineup.

Trevor Rogers is looking to repeat his outstanding 2025 for Baltimore, when he went 9-3 with a 1.81 ERA. I’m picking Rogers lead the Orioles to an Opening Day win over Joe Ryan and the Twins this afternoon.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Joe Ryan went 3-5 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.309 WHIP over his last 10 starts to end the 2025 season.

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Twins vs Orioles same-game parlay (SGP)

While I expect Baltimore’s offense to rebound a bit in 2026, it’s worth noting that they were a Bottom 10 offense in run-scoring last season, plating 4.18 runs per game – just behind Minnesota (4.19).

With both teams throwing their aces on Opening Day, I like the Under here. 

One player I do see generating a bit of offense is Henderson, who hit .400 with a 1.267 OPS for the United States in the World Baseball Classic.

Even in a down year, Henderson scored 85 runs last season, and I like him to come across today.

Twins vs Orioles SGP

  • Orioles moneyline
  • Under 8.5
  • Gunnar Henderson to score a run

Twins vs Orioles home run pick: Pete Alonso (+290)

Alonso was one of the biggest free agent moves in the offseason, and he’ll undoubtedly add a lot of punch to the middle of the Baltimore lineup.

The former Mets star has hit at least 34 home runs in every full season of his career, and his .871 OPS last season was his highest since his rookie season.

Ryan gave up seven homers in his last four starts of 2025, and I like Alonso to get off to a fast start in his new home.

Twins vs Orioles odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +118 | Baltimore -138
  • Run line: Minnesota +1.5 | Baltimore -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

Twins vs Orioles trend

The Twins were 1-6 in Ryan’s last seven starts in 2025. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Orioles.

How to watch Twins vs Orioles and game info

Location Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date Thursday, March 26, 2026
First pitch 3:05 p.m. ET
TV Twins TV, MASN
Twins starting pitcher Joe Ryan
(2025: 13-10, 3.42 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcher Trevor Rogers
(2025: 9-3, 1.81 ERA)

Twins vs Orioles latest injuries

Twins vs Orioles weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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