Tigers vs Braves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Jason Ence - Contributor at Covers.com
Jason Ence • Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 28, 2026 , 12:31 PM ET • 4 min read

Our Tigers vs. Braves predictions expect Atlanta's bats to go to work against Casey Mize and a suppar Detroit bullpen.

Matt Olson Atlanta Braves MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Matt Olson runs the bases after hitting a three-run homer.

The Atlanta Braves hope to remain on a heater when they open a three-game series with the Detroit Tigers tonight.

Atlanta has won six consecutive series, and our Tigers vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks expect that to continue at Truist Park.

Who will win Tigers vs Braves today: Braves (-117)

Casey Mize has pitched well for the Detroit Tigers this season. However, his last three starts came against teams ranked 24th or worse in ISO.

The Atlanta Braves rank fourth in ISO and third in wRC+. That’s bad news for a pitcher whose hard-hit rate ranks in the 29th percentile. 

Atlanta has also punished opposing bullpens all season, and the Tigers have a subpar one.

Detroit relievers have thrown the fifth-fewest innings, yet rank 15th in HRs and walks allowed. Over the past two weeks, they’ve allowed opponents to hit .299 while posting a 5.60 ERA.

Covers COVERS INTEL: If he had enough IP to qualify, Martin Perez’s -1.93 ERA/FIP differential would be the fourth-largest among all MLB starters this season.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Tigers vs Braves Over/Under pick: Over 9 (+105)

I see value in the Over, in part because Martin Perez is prime for regression. His xERA is nearly two runs higher than his actual 2.70 ERA, and his 4.44 xFIP is in line with his numbers the past few seasons. 

The Tigers rank second on the season in xwOBA and ninth in BABIP. They’re eighth in ISO and rank third in the metric over the past two weeks.

Perez limits walks and avoids barrels, but he doesn’t generate a lot of whiffs or strikeouts. An inability to avoid contact means the Tigers will get to him for a few runs.

Jason Ence's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 1-5, -4.5 units
  • Over/Under bets: 5-1, +3.91 units

Tigers vs Braves odds

  • Moneyline: Tigers +108 | Braves -113
  • Run line: Tigers +1.5 (-178) | Braves -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+133) | Under Under 9.5 (-144)

Tigers vs Braves trend

The Tigers have cashed their team total Over in eight of their last 10 games for +5.8 units and a 48% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Braves.

How to watch Tigers vs Braves and game info

Location Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Date Tuesday, April 28, 2026
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV TBS
Tigers starting pitcher Casey Mize
(2-1, 2.51 ERA)
Braves starting pitcher Martin Perez
(1-1, 2.70 ERA)

Tigers vs Braves latest injuries

Tigers vs Braves weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Jason Ence - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jason has been hooked on football since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo