NFL schedule makers knew we'd have too much fun with the Lions and Bills, so they brought us back down to earth with the Atlanta Falcons vs. the Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football.
These teams stink to high heaven, but my Falcons vs. Packers anytime touchdown scorer predictions know who is finding the end zone Thursday, Sept. 24.
For more NFL picks, check out our complete Falcons vs. Packers predictions!
Best Falcons vs Packers anytime touchdown scorer predictions
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Bijan Robinson |
57% |
 Christian Watson |
38% |
| Bijan Robinson first TD |
17% |
| Austin Hooper |
6% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Falcons anytime touchdown scorer pick: Bijan Robinson
I was seriously debating betting Atlanta Falcons Under 0.5 total touchdowns after last week's shit show, but the Michael Penix Jr. news gives me some hope they can score.
This isn't the sexiest pick, but I don't trust anyone else to get the Falcons into the end zone right now. It also helps our case that the Green Bay Packers have already given up three rushing touchdowns in two games.
Bijan Robinson's workload is absurd. After touching the ball on nearly 66% of Atlanta's snaps in Week 1, he ran for 16 of Atlanta's 32 rush attempts while getting targeted four times before the Falcons finally waved the white flag.
Atlanta hasn't had a snap in the red zone this season (holy shit lol), BUT Penix Jr. should be able to move the ball better than Cooper Dawdle and whoever the hell replaced him.
Once inside the 20, Robinson should eat up most rush attempts, as RB2 Brian Robinson is dealing with an ankle injury.
Packers anytime touchdown scorer pick: Christian Watson
Christian Watson looks like the wide receiver Green Bay paid for, and with Jayden Reed likely to miss significant time, his usage will only increase.
Watson leads the Packers with 19 targets through two games, and he's also averaging 18.8 yards per catch. That deep-ball threat will come in handy against a Falcons secondary that got burned for over 12 yards per catch vs. Carolina.
Once inside the 20, Watson has also caught 66% of his team's touchdown passes inside the 20, so regardless of where Green Bay is on the field, he's a threat to score.
First touchdown scorer pick: Bijan Robinson
Doubling down on Bijan here. He's the best player on both sides of the field by a mile, and Green Bay's offense has instilled no confidence through two games.
Jordan Love has a putrid 52% pass completion rate, and Atlanta's giving up a league-low 63 yards per game on the ground. With their QB struggling to move the ball, the Packers are running out of options to get downfield.
It might not be until the second... third... or even fourth quarter, but when someone finally does find the end zone, it will be Robinson.
Falcons vs Packers anytime touchdown combo
Bijan Robinson
Christian Watson
Atlanta has one touchdown through two weeks, and I don't see Green Bay having much success in the trenches with how well the Falcons have stopped the run.
These are my two touchdown picks for a reason, and I don't see value elsewhere in finding two other scorers to combo on TNF.
- TD picks: 1-3, -1.75 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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