The Philadelphia Phillies snapped a 10-game losing streak by beating the Braves on Saturday and could become the first team to win a series against Atlanta this season. Standing in their way is lefty Chris Sale.
Philadelphia has been unable to solve southpaws this season, which is why my Phillies vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks call for a Braves win on April 26.
Who will win Phillies vs Braves today: Braves -1.5 (+123)
Despite Saturday’s extra-innings loss, the Atlanta Braves are still red hot.
They're 7-0-1 in series this year and have won nine of the last 11 games while averaging six runs a game. They’re facing Aaron Nola, who has not been the same since last year’s injuries.
Nola’s fastball velocity is in the Bottom 11% of MLB, and his fastball’s run value is in the Bottom 3%.
The Philadelphia Phillies need to contend with Chris Sale, who allowed one run over seven innings against Philly last week. Philadelphia is hitting .183 with an OPS+ of 50 (half of league average) against southpaws.
COVERS INTEL: Batters are hitting .355 with .597 slugging against Nola's three pitches of fastball, sinker, and cutter since returning from injury (.268/.463 pre-injury).
Phillies vs Braves Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-130)
Nola has an ERA of 5.06, but his FIP — which predicts future ERA — is a full run lower.
That, and a high BABIP (.347), indicate he’s been a victim of bad luck this season. He struggles with control, walking four in his last start, but Atlanta's 32.8% chase rate should help mitigate those issues.
Of course, then there's the Phils' struggles against southpaws.
Bryce Harper is hitting .174 with .588 OPS against lefty starters, with Trea Turner (.208/.616) and Kyle Schwarber (.152/.554) not faring any better.
- ML/RL bets: 8-9, -0.96 units
- Over/Under bets: 9-12, -3.31 units
Phillies vs Braves odds
- Moneyline: Phillies +165 | Braves -170
- Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-127) | Braves -1.5 (+123)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+100) | Under 8.5 (-130)
Phillies vs Braves trend
The Atlanta Braves have covered the run line in 26 of their last 40 games (+17.00 Units / 39% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Braves.
How to watch Phillies vs Braves and game info
| Location | Truist Park, Cumberland, GA |
| Date | Sunday, April 26, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSP, BravesVision |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Aaron Nola (1-2, 5.06 ERA) |
| Braves starting pitcher | Chris Sale (4-1, 2.79 ERA) |
Phillies vs Braves latest injuries
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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