The Atlanta Braves beat the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday for their ninth win in 10 games, while Philadelphia has lost 10 straight, its longest losing streak since 1999.
The Phillies will get a big boost on Saturday as ace starting pitcher Zack Wheeler makes his first MLB start since last August.
Blood clots forced Wheeler to have a rib removed in September, and it's not clear that he's shaken off the rust and gotten back to 100%.
That's why my Phillies vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks call for a Braves win.
Who will win Phillies vs Braves today: Braves moneyline (-119)
The Atlanta Braves added to baseball's best run differential and have topped five runs in three straight, averaging 6.6 runs over the last five.
The Braves got the win in the series opener, even with their hottest hitter, Michael Harris (.555 in the last seven games), limited to pinch-hitting duty after leaving Thursday's game with quad tightness.
He may play DH on Saturday.
The Philadelphia Phillies hope Zack Wheeler can keep that Atlanta offense in check, but he had a 5.85 ERA in five spring starts with his highest home run rate since 2018.
Even more troubling, his spin and velocity are down significantly.
COVERS INTEL: In his last rehab start, at double-A Reading, Wheeler's fastballs were at 92, with a max of 93, down from 96.1 (four-seamer) and 95.4 (sinker) last season. His sweeper and curve were also slower, and their spin rates were down about 100 revolutions.
Phillies vs Braves Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
The Phillies will have Wheeler on a pitch count, but their key relievers should be rested and able to handle the increased workload.
Braves starter Bryce Elder has a 1.50 ERA this season and a WHIP below 1.000. His strikeout rate is at a career high, while his hit, walk, and homer rates are at career lows.
He's throwing his four-seamer and cutter more instead of relying solely on his sinker, and the result has been increased effectiveness of all three pitches.
Opponents are hitting 30 points lower against the sinker and 80 points lower against the four-seamer. He didn't throw the cutter often enough last year to compare, but foes have just a .200 average against it in 2026.
- ML/RL bets: 8-8, +0.4 units
- Over/Under bets: 9-11, -2.31 units
Phillies vs Braves odds
- Moneyline: Phillies -117 | Braves +113
- Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-178) | Braves -1.5 (+170)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-108) | Under 8.5 (+104)
Phillies vs Braves trend
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 53% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Braves.
How to watch Phillies vs Braves and game info
| Location | Truist Park, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Saturday, April 25, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSP, BravesVision |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Zack Wheeler (1-2, 5.06 ERA) |
| Braves starting pitcher | Bryce Elder (3-1, 1.50 ERA) |
Phillies vs Braves latest injuries
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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