Mets vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 18, 2026 , 10:00 AM ET • 4 min read

The Mets have looked all out of sorts as Jameson Taillon draws them at an ideal time to capitalize, with the Cubs positioned to take full advantage of their cold bats.

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
NYM
48 %
CHC
52 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Chi. Cubs -112 Chi. Cubs -112
Read Analysis
Jameson Taillon Chicago Cubs MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chicago Cubs pitcher Jameson Taillon (50) pitches against the Los Angeles Angels during the first inning.

The New York Mets will hope to end a nine-game losing streak as they visit the Chicago Cubs for the second game of their weekend series on Saturday afternoon.

New York is in a deep hole right now, and I like Chicago to pile on at home and win in my Mets vs. Cubs predictions.

Read on to see my full analysis of this matchup in my free MLB picks for Saturday, April 18.

Who will win Mets vs Cubs today: Cubs moneyline (-112)

The New York Mets have suffered offensively during their current losing streak, being shut out three times and averaging 1.78 runs over its last nine games. Francisco Lindor is hitting .200 while new arrival Bo Bichette is catching the ire of Mets fans thanks to his .564 OPS.

The Chicago Cubs come into today having won three straight, scoring 10+ runs in each game. While Freddy Peralta (1-1, 3.86 ERA) has pitched well enough to give the Mets chances to win, Chicago should score more than enough to outpace this floundering New York lineup. I like the Cubs to win at home.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Mets are hitting .202 with a .524 OPS during their current nine-game losing streak.

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Mets vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-118)

The four runs the Mets scored on Friday constituted a breakout for them, as it was the first time in five games they scored more than two runs. Veteran Jameson Taillon (0-1, 4.86 ERA) has struggled in his last two starts, but facing New York gives him a great chance to get right while the Mets’ bats are cold.

After a shaky opener, Peralta has been solid for the Mets, allowing just five runs in 16 innings over his last three starts. The Cubs have a .727 OPS against right-handed pitching this season, 61 points lower than their mark against southpaws. I like both pitchers to keep this game manageable and help us hit the Under.

Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 3-5, -2.03 units
  • Over/Under bets: 1-5, -3.96 units

Mets vs Cubs odds

  • Moneyline: New York +101 | Chicago -112
  • Run line: New York -1.5 (+152) | Chicago +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+109) | Under 8.5 (-121)

Mets vs Cubs trend

The Mets are 0-9 straight up in their last nine games overall. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Cubs.

How to watch Mets vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Saturday, April 18, 2026
First pitch 2:20 p.m. ET
TV SNY, Marquee
Mets starting pitcher Freddy Peralta
(1-1, 3.86 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Jameson Taillon
(0-1, 4.86 ERA)

Mets vs Cubs latest injuries

Mets vs Cubs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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