Fresh off a Kyle Tucker walk-off in the series opener, the Los Angeles Dodgers come in ready for Game 2 with the Miami Marlins on Tuesday night.
Shohei Ohtani is on the bump, so I’m backing the Boys in Blue with my Marlins vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, April 28.
Who will win Marlins vs Dodgers today: Dodgers (-285)
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the best pitchers in the league through four starts, sporting a sterling 0.38 ERA.
While it won’t be possible to maintain a number that low, his underlying metrics (2.01 xERA, 1.92 FIP) are tremendous. He notches strikeouts (27.2% K rate) and ground balls (55%) while limiting walks (6.5% BB rate) and hard contact (87th percentile barrel rate).
He’ll give the Los Angeles Dodgers a leg up against a Miami Marlins team that has a 3-10 record on the road, including three consecutive losses.
COVERS INTEL: Miami starter Janson Junk’s 3.51 xERA looks solid, but his weak 9.1% K-BB% raises sustainability concerns. A low .265 BABIP is helping, and with a sixth-percentile hard-hit rate last year, that contact profile may not hold.
Marlins vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (+105)
Ohtani has been dominant on the mound, allowing a single earned run in 24 innings while striking out 25 and allowing 12 hits. L.A. has played to the Under in three of his four starts.
Both squads rank within the top eight in bullpen FIP, so a low-scoring game could be in store for a game with temperatures in the low 60s at Chavez Ravine.
Ohtani won’t feature in today’s lineup. The Dodgers are still potent, but will be without their best hitter, and both starting middle infielders, Mookie Betts & Tommy Edman, who are still on the IL.
- ML/RL bets: 9-5, +5.94 units
- Over/Under bets: 10-5, +4.82 units
Marlins vs Dodgers odds
- Moneyline: Miami +238 | Los Angeles -265
- Run line: Miami +1.5 (+105) | Los Angeles -1.5 (-132)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-111) | Under 7.5 (-108)
Marlins vs Dodgers trend
The Dodgers are 9-0 in their last nine home games against the Marlins. Find more MLB betting trends for Marlins vs. Dodgers.
How to watch Marlins vs Dodgers and game info
| Location | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Tuesday, April 28 |
| First pitch | 10:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
| Marlins starting pitcher | Janson Junk (1-2, 3.67 ERA) |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Shohei Ohtani (2-0, 0.38 ERA) |
Marlins vs Dodgers latest injuries
Marlins vs Dodgers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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