Yet again, the New York Yankees dropped a game to the Seattle Mariners.
New York came into this series with the longest win streak in baseball. My Mariners vs. Yankees predictions like the Bronx Bombers to start a new streak today after dropping two straight. The Mariners struck early, grabbing a two-run lead in the third inning, and never looked back. Now they'll be looking to make it three in a row tonight.
Read on for my free MLB picks on Wednesday, May 22nd.
Mariners vs Yankees prediction
My best bet
Yankees moneyline (-162 at BetRivers)
My analysis
I like the New York Yankees to bounce back today. There's a decent edge in my projection of -172, and I'm happily taking it.
New York was unlucky to lose the first two games of this series against the Seattle Mariners and won't make it three.
What remains is the prevailing thought on how I handicap the Yankees. My biggest question is: Does the opposing pitcher have a habit of giving up hard-hit balls? In this case, the answer is a resounding yes. Bryce Miller will take the mound for the Mariners today, and that's been one of his most significant issues in this still-young season.
He'll arrive at this game with a hard-hit rate in the bottom 15% of baseball, a barrel rate in the bottom 5%, and an average exit velocity that's the same. These are all things this Yankees' power-based lineup was built to capitalize on. Big bats like Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, and the emerging Alex Verdugo should be able to jump on this. They are a big part of why New York ranks in the Top 5 in the aforementioned barrel and hard-hit rates.
If you look at some of Miller's rough games this season, they have come against opponents with a similar makeup as New York. He has allowed four earned runs in three of his nine starts. Those opponents ranked Top 10 in hard-hit and barrel rates. As previously mentioned, the Yankees rank in the Top 5. In this game, we are simply following what the data has told us, and that's why we expect New York to score.
This handicap is pretty straightforward: I'm backing New York to jump on Miller early and often en route to a rebound win.
Mariners vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)
Yankees moneyline
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases
While it's not the most exciting same-game parlay, it should get the job done. Judge has had limited matchups against Miller, but they've been good ones, batting over .600 against him in his seven plate appearances. It makes sense, too. Judge is either the best or second-best power bat in the Yankees lineup, and as we've highlighted, that's been Miller's most significant issue. I expect him to seize on those issues today and rope multiple hard-hit balls into the outfield.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Mariners vs Yankees odds
Mariners vs Yankees live odds
Mariners vs Yankees opening odds
- Run line: Seattle +1.5 (-165) | New York -1.5 (+135)
- Moneyline: Seattle +122 | New York -144
- Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8
Mariners vs Yankees spread and Over/Under analysis
- Bettors are still up on New York over its last 10 games at a total of +2 units.
- This moneyline price opened at -144 at most shops and is set to close well north of -160.
- Neither team had an advantage entering this series, with both teams holding serve at 5-5 over the last 10 meetings.
- That has changed since the Mariners took the series' first two games.
DraftKings Early Win Payout: Up 2 = Win!
Make your moneyline bets less of sweat with DraftKings' EWP, where every day you can get one MLB moneyline bet paid out immediately — as soon as your team goes up by 2+ runs
Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2024.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Mariners vs Yankees trend
The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Mariners vs. Yankees
Rangers vs Phillies game info
| Location: | Yankee Stadium, New York, NY |
| Date: | Wednesday, 5-22-2024 |
| First pitch: | 7:05 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Amazon Prime |
| Seattle starting pitcher: | Bryce Miller (3-4 3.08 ERA) |
| New York starting pitcher: | Nestor Cortes (2-4, 3.56 ERA) |
Mariners vs Yankees latest injuries
Mariners vs Yankees weather
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
