Dominican Republic and Venezuela have both dominated Pool D, posting perfect 3-0 records with gaudy run differentials to boot.
My Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela predictions expect the firepower of DR to make the difference in this high-profile matchup.
Let’s take a closer look at my World Baseball Classic best bets for Wednesday, March 11.
Dominican Republic vs Venezuela prediction
Dominican Republic vs Venezuela best bet: Dominican Republic -2.5 (-110)
Dominican Republic has the most productive lineup in the tournament, plating 35 runs through three games.
They own a remarkable +29 run differential and have won each game by at least nine runs. Venezuela has faced the same opponents and scored 13 fewer runs while failing to create the same kind of separation.
Venezuelan starter Eduardo Rodriguez has posted a 5+ ERA in back-to-back seasons and allowed 21 home runs (5th most) to right-handed bats last year.
Righties Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Julio Rodriguez, and Manny Machado destroy left-handed pitching, and should power Dominican Republic to a convincing victory.
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Dominican Republic vs Venezuela same-game parlay (SGP)
Dominican Republic -2.5
Over 11
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1+ hits
Dominican Republic is an electric offensive side that has averaged more than 11 runs per game themselves. They score runs in bulk and have the ability to flirt with this Over themselves.
While their offensive ceiling should lead to another healthy victory, Venezuela is a dangerous offense as well and have the ability to get to Sandy Alcantara — who struggled mightily last — in the early going before they bring their flamethrowers in to tighten up late.
Vladdy has three hits through two games and is a contact machine, particularly against left-handed pitching.
Julio Rodriguez star player prop
Julio Rodriguez best bet: 2+ total bases (-110)
Julio Rodriguez consistently barrels the ball against lefties and excels when facing low-to-mid 90s fastballs, which is where Eduardo Rodriguez lives. Add in his elite speed and one good swing is likely to result in extra bases.
Dominican Republic vs Venezuela opening odds
- Moneyline: Dominican Republic -235 | Venezuela +190
- Run line: Dominican Republic -2.5 (-110) | Venezuela +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 11 (-115) | Under 11 (-105)
How to watch Dominican Republic vs Venezuela and game info
| Location | LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL |
| Date | Wednesday, March 11, 2026 |
| First pitch | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
| Dominican Republic starting pitcher | Sandy Alcantara |
| Venezuela starting pitcher | Eduardo Rodriguez |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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