The Philadelphia Phillies found their hitting mojo again, scoring four runs in the first inning of Friday's series opener against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Unfortunately, Philadelphia didn't score again and blew the early lead, losing its third straight and fourth of five.
Arizona gets back Corbin Carroll, who is in the lineup after missing the last two days, and our Diamondbacks vs. Phillies predictions and MLB picks look for the D-Backs to pick up another win in a slugfest.
Who will win Diamondbacks vs Phillies today: Diamondbacks moneyline (+117)
Big first inning aside, the Philadelphia Phillies are still struggling to hit. Kyle Schwarber, Alec Bohm, and Bryson Stott combined to go 1-for-10 in the game with six strikeouts.
After combining for 8.3 WAR last year, they're hitting .177 with negative WAR.
Corbin Carroll is back after a minor scare from hip soreness, but the Arizona Diamondbacks have a new injury to worry about. Catcher Gabriel Moreno is day-to-day after leaving Friday's game with back trouble.
Backup James McCann led Friday's comeback after replacing Moreno, however, and the lineup will benefit from facing Philly starter Taijuan Walker, who has a 9.31 ERA and 2.276 WHIP.
COVERS INTEL: Brandon Pfaadt's six most common pitches thrown have all had their spin rates drop from last season by at least 74 revolutions per second, with an average drop-off of 112 rps.
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-120)
Arizona's starting pitcher hasn't struggled at the same level as Philadelphia's Walker, but Brandon Pfaadt is off to a rough start this season. He has a 6.75 ERA and 1.406 WHIP. Even more concerning for the D-Backs, his strikeout rate is about half of his career average.
Philadelphia's biggest problem at the plate has been swing-and-miss, and that shouldn't be a problem against Pfaadt. His whiff rate—23.9% for his career—is down to 17.9%, which puts him in the bottom 13% in MLB this year. His strikeout percentage is in the bottom sixth percentile.
- ML/RL bets: 3-5, -2.60 units
- Over/Under bets: 5-7, -2.19 units
Diamondbacks vs Phillies odds
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks +117 | Phillies -122
- Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170) | Phillies -1.5 (+163)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-117) | Under 8.5 (+113)
Diamondbacks vs Phillies trend
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies.
How to watch Diamondbacks vs Phillies and game info
| Location | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Saturday, April 11, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1, FOX One |
| Diamondbacks starting pitcher | Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 6.75 ERA) |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Taijuan Walker (0-2, 9.31 ERA) |
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