Astros vs Tigers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Chris Faria - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 28, 2026 , 11:11 AM ET • 4 min read

Hunter Brown brings his A-game at Comerica Park.

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
HOU
59 %
DET
41 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Houston -120 Houston -120
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Hunter Brown Houston Astros MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Hunter Brown on the mound against the Blue Jays.

The Houston Astros will look to win their four-game series against the Detroit Tigers when they send Hunter Brown to the hill this afternoon.

Brown has been excellent when healthy this season, and my Astros vs. Tigers predictions and MLB picks believe he’ll be the difference for the Astros today.

Who will win Astros vs Tigers today: Astros moneyline (-120)

Hunter Brown has only made four starts this season due to a shoulder injury, but the Houston Astros starter has been dealing when healthy.

The right-hander hasn’t allowed more than one earned run in any of his appearances, thanks to his almost unhittable fastball. Batters are hitting .095 against Brown’s four-seamer, with a .139 xSLG, and that’s a pitch the Detroit Tigers haven’t had success against.

Detroit has the fourth-worst average in the majors against a right-handed four-seamer (.225), and an already weak offense is missing key pieces like Javier Baez and Gleyber Torres.

Give me the Astros up to -130.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Hunter Brown performs better in June than any other month throughout his career, holding a 1.90 ERA and .176 opposing batting average.

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Astros vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-120)

Jack Flaherty has largely been able to avoid blowup starts of late, and even if he does get in trouble, he’ll be able to fall back on a decent Tigers bullpen (3.87 ERA; 12th).

Neither team is hitting the ball particularly well this week, with the Astros batting .236 with a .668 OPS, and the Tigers hitting .240/.712.

Another strong start from Brown keeps this game Under 8.5 runs. Play it to -130.

Chris Faria's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 3-1, +1.23 units
  • Over/Under bets: 1-3, -2.12 units

Astros vs Tigers weather

Astros vs Tigers odds

  • Moneyline: Astros -122 | Tigers +117
  • Run line: Astros -1.5 (+138) | Tigers +1.5 (-144)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+108) | Under 8.5 (-144)

Astros vs Tigers trend

The Tigers have cashed the Under in 55.7% of their games this season, the second-highest rate in MLB. Find more MLB betting trends for Astros vs. Tigers.

How to watch Astros vs Tigers and game info

Location Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Date Sunday, June 28, 2026
First pitch 1:40 p.m. ET
TV SCHN, DSN
Astros starting pitcher Hunter Brown
(1-0, 1.40 ERA)
Tigers starting pitcher Casey Mize
(2-5, 2.95 ERA)

Astros vs Tigers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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