After snatching victory from the jaws of defeat last night, the New York Yankees will hope for a less stressful outing against the Los Angeles Angels today in the Bronx.
Jose Caballero was the walk-off hero yesterday, punishing an infield popup blunder by L.A., and my Angels vs. Yankees predictions expect Max Fried to lead the hosts to another win here.
Check out my MLB picks for this Thursday, April 16 battle — and settle in for the latest instalment of Aaron Judge and Mike Trout fireworks.
Who will win Angels vs Yankees today: Yankees (-272)
It’s been a bumpy stretch for the New York Yankees, who had slipped from 8-2 to 9-8 before last night’s rally, but this afternoon is nicely set up for the Bronx Bombers to seal a series win.
New York enters as a heavy favorite, partly because Max Fried is taking the ball. The Yankees ace has a 1.93 ERA and 0.75 WHIP through four starts this year, and only four Los Angeles Angels hitters have faced him previously.
Fried doesn't miss many bats, instead relying on inducing soft contact to find success, and because he ranks among MLB's best at barrel and hard-hit rates, he can quiet an Angels lineup that leads the AL in home runs.
Plus, it’s tough to trust an Angels squad that was 33-48 on the road last season and has yet to commit to today’s starter.
COVERS INTEL: Fried has enjoyed pitching in April in recent years. He had a 0.82 ERA in April 2025 and didn’t give up a single run in three starts in April 2023.
Angels vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-108)
The Under is 9-1 in the past 10 meetings between these teams. That’s where I’m looking this afternoon, with the Yankees and Angels both sitting in the bottom third of the league in batting average, and they only combined for 13 hits last night.
Even if the New York offense is firing, the total could be held in check with Fried limiting L.A. baserunners. The Yankees' lefty got through eight innings of work last weekend against the Rays, and five of New York’s last six home games have fallen short of this 9.5 O/U line.
Despite being touted as a world-beating offense, the Yankees boast a 98 wRC+ through 18 games, which is slightly below average.
The Angels are better in that regard, but both lineups have demonstrated a lot of swing and miss, with each team boasting strikeout rates north of 25%.
- ML/RL bets: 0-2, -2 units
- Over/Under bets: 2-0, +1.8 units
Angels vs Yankees odds
- Moneyline: Angels +245 | Yankees -257
- Run line: Angels +1.5 (+122) | Yankees -1.5 (-127)
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+100) | Under 9.5 (-104)
Angels vs Yankees trend
The Under is 6-3 in the Yankees’ last nine contests.. Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. Yankees.
How to watch Angels vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Thursday, April 16, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN West, YES |
| Angels starting pitcher | TBD |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Max Fried (2-0, 1.93 ERA) |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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