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Lawton's Projections

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Views: 59138
Posts: 408
 
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Posts: 1980
Posted: #51
Can’t find that Columbus game, 
 
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Posted: #52
Probability System
25-14 (+11.20 units)
64.10% Winners
All 1 unit plays

NHL: 8-4 (+4.55 units)
MLB: 7-3 (+4.35 units)
NFL: 6-3 (+2.70 units)
CFB: 4-4 (-0.40 units)

Saturdays plays

Illinois Under 48.5
Florida St Over 44.5
Army Under 48
Kansas St Over 49
Texas Over 64

1 unit each

Check back later for additional plays

(A)
 
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Posted: #53
Adding Oct 14

Series wager
Cubs +170

Toronto +100 nhl

All plays 1 unit

Check back later for additions

(L)
 
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Posted: #54
Adding Oct 14

Edmonton Over 5.5 (-110)

Blackhawks -140

Back tomorrow
 
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Posted: #55
Probability System
28-19 (+8.70 units)
59.57% Winners
1 unit each

NHL: 11-4 (+7.55 units)
MLB: 7-3 (+4.35 units)
NFL: 6-3 (+2.70 units)
CFB: 4-9 (-5.90 units)

Pending series wager
Cubs +170

Sunday Oct 15

Detroit +4.5 (-120)

Arizona  +110
Rams +125

1 unit each

Back later with a Top NHL play

 
Prospect
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Posted: #56

Was your system originally designed for nhl? 

 
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Posted: #57
I've got programs (models) for the individual sports, this is the first month that I've used probability and advanced forecasting with them. It will probably do better with professional sports, as there are far fewer teams to be concerned with...

Adding October 15

Islanders +135

1 unit


 
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Posted: #58
Any thoughts of taking Cubs for another unit with increased payout?
 
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Posted: #59
Probability System
30-20 (+9.85 units)
60.00% Winners
All 1 unit plays

NHL: 11-4 (+7.55 units)
MLB: 7-3 (+4.35 units)
NFL: 8-4 (+3.85 units)
CFB: 4-9 (-5.90 units)

Pending Sunday
Islanders +135

Pending Series wager
Cubs +170

All 1 unit

Notice the pro sports are running 26-11..

Im not adding on Cubs... 
 
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Posted: #60
Monday Oct 16

Yankees -125

1 unit

Back for Tuesdays games
 
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Posted: #61
My book has it at -145, still a bet? I am assuming part of the value behind the probability equation includes the line?
 
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Posted: #62
Probability System
31-21 (+9.85 units)
59.62% Winners
1 unit each

NHL: 11-5 (+6.55 units)
MLB: 8-3 (+5.35 units)
NFL: 8-4 (+3.85 units)
CFB: 4-9 (-5.90 units)
NBA: 0-0 (0.00 units)

Pending series wager
Cubs +170

Back later with Tuesdays card
 
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Posted: #63
Plays for Oct 17

Cubs -115 game 3

Penguins -115

Edmonton Over 5.5 (-110)

1 unit each
 
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Posted: #64
ProSports running 27-12 entering tonight.. My NBA will be starting tomorrow night... Feel free to follow along...

Probability (the likelihood of an event occurring)... I am only scratching the surface of this topic...


 
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Posted: #65
Probability System
33-22 (+10.70 units)
60.00% Winners
1 unit each

NHL: 13-5 (+8.55 units)
MLB: 8-4 (+4.20 units)
NFL: 8-4 (+3.85 units)
CFB: 4-9 (-5.90 units)

Back later with Wednesdays card
 
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Joined: Nov, 2015
Posts: 652
Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

ProSports running 27-12 entering tonight.. My NBA will be starting tomorrow night... Feel free to follow along...

Probability (the likelihood of an event occurring)... I am only scratching the surface of this topic...




Keep up the strong work. Some nail-biters in there, but to be expected.

Thanks for posting!
 
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Posted: #67
Plays for Oct 18

Memphis Under 205.5

Dallas Under 198

LA Kings Over 5 (-140)

1 unit each
 
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Posted: #68
Picking up the NBA tonight guys... Running at 29-13 for the pro sports, hope the NBA joins in...

First season that I've used probability with my NBA model.. We shall see how it goes.. 


 
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Posted: #69
What sportsbook do you use?

Seem to have better odds than I do
 
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Posted: #70
Probability System
35-23 (+11.60 units)
All 1 unit plays

NHL: 14-5 (+9.55 units)
MLB: 8-4 (+4.20 units)
NFL: 8-4 (+3.85 units)
NBA: 1-1 (-0.10 units)
CFB: 4-9 (-5.90 units)

Pending series wager
Cubs +170

Pro sports running at 31-14

Back later with plays for Oct 19
 
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Posted: #71
Oct 19

KC Over 46.5

Columbus -135
Isles Over 5.5 (-115)

1 unit each
 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

Ok, so I banged your receptionist in the stock room but I thought you should know I didn't believe her and used protection...

 
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Posted: #73
Probability System
37-25 (+11.25 units)
59.68% Winners
1 unit each

NHL: 15-6 (+9.20 units)
MLB: 8-5 (+3.20 units)
NFL: 9-4 (+4.85 units)
NBA: 1-1 (-0.10 units)
CFB: 4-9 (-5.90 units)

Pro Sports: 33-16

Back later with Fridays plays


 
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Posted: #74

Thank you for sharing. an_cheers

 
 
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Posted: #75
Friday Oct 20

Washington -125 NHL
Anaheim -110 NHL

Minnesota Over 197.5 NBA

1 unit each
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