Adding Nov 18

Probability System

Add Nov 19

Bummed to hear you gave us less than your best. What is the strategy for your picks? Better than X% makes it a wager? Did you lower the cut off?

What happened with nhl dogs? Early on you mentioned we would see a fair amount.

Terrible week. Let's stay focused and turn it around. Lost 10 units this week. Best we have won is 2 or 3 in a week. 

I have to ask...3D...do you think that you are somehow being encouraging? Do you even read your posts before you post?

Best we have won is 2 or 3? C'mon, man...YOU haven't won anything for anybody.

Please don't clutter up this thread. There's plenty of other garbage threads. Go whine in there.

3D is either a troll or just a loser... or both.

Speaking the truth. Been tailing Lawton 100% but something went sour. Will see if we can get back to fundamentals.

TBH less is more. Basically up the same amount from a month ago. Been paying juice essentially. I'd like to see less bets and top picks only myself. 1 maybe 2 bets a day tops.

Good gracious...

Uhhh...what "fundamentals" have you brought 3D?

I see a lot of questions, and requests, but fundamentals?

Please, for the love of all that is good, just stop.

Or, create a system of your own, post a season-long thread and we can follow along.

Hey, Lawton.

Check DM please at best convenience.

New week, let's get it!

Probability System

Tuesday Nov 21

I will never tell anyone how to spend their money. However, i think the removal of specific sports (likely due to a win% your not ok with) defeats the purpose. 

Under the assumption one of your preferred sports go on a cold streak (which according to logic, will happen.. the same applies to going on hot streaks) the lack of other sports could potentially lower that 57% significantly, where as the sports you chose to remove could actually benefit you and help sustain losses.

Again, your money and system, do as you wish. I just see this in some ways as grinding out wins to get to your 57%, and by removing sports COMPLETELY will result in a negative experience.

Quite a bit of work daily, when 5 sports are going at the same time.. 

your logic actually makes sense in relation to the NFL weather elements playing more of a factor into things.. as well as your model not being fully ready to go (untill mid Dec.)..

It makes sense, and ofcourse my original response was based on not having this knowledge.

Again, your NBA totals have went 10-5 last 15.. but your expecting 57%.. so even to your own logic, that will not be sustainable (it can be, but likely not).. which is where my theory of not removing other sports from the equation.

Full card for Tuesday Nov 21

Probability System

What is the probability of 10 straight losing days? Think it might be time to start fading. LOL! WTF! 

LOLLLLL... your an idiot.

Firstly, you NEVER EVER blindly tail someone. If you do. You deserve to lose.

Secondly, even if someone hits 57% of the time, they still lose 43%, which is going to account for many loses, some of which come in streaks.

I almost feel that your one of those undercover covers losers who make their best attempt to get rid of successful/potentially successful cappers.

To Lawton, keep doing what your doing.. the same way you were on fire, it was to be expected to go cold at some point. In the end, everything will balance itself out and you will be where you want to be. 

Money management, my friends!

Everytime 3D posts, I just cannot help think to myself:

"It's better to let someone think you are an idiot than to open your mouth and prove it."

Stop proving it, 3D!

Happy Thanksgiving nonetheless and let's get some birds on board.

Probability System