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Lawton's Projections

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Posted: #1
Putting all my system plays in one thread.
Check this thread for any play that I may have..

Just didn't want to run several threads.

Welcome to my office..

NHL Projections
2-0 (+2.55 units)

Pending Oct 5

Nashville +120


NFL Projections
2-0 (+2.00 units)

Pending Oct 5

Tampa Bay Under 55.5 (-110)


MLB Projections
2-0 (+2.00 units)

Pending Oct 5

Redsox Over 7 (-110)

Pending series wager
Cubs +110


Each play has been posted in other threads at Covers...

Hope its OK to keep all plays in one thread, I don't want to run multiple threads and I'd like to document the plays...

All plays will be for one unit... 


 
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Posted: #2
Gl lawton 
 
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Posted: #3
Thanks buddy
 
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Posted: #4
No problem guys, so much easier on me to keep everything together. Hope this thread can run for a long time..

Addition for thursday Oct 5


Ottawa +130

All plays one unit... I didn't have a line on this one until recently...


This is my last play for today but check the thread for all my plays.. Keeping everything together..
 
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Posted: #5
Thursday, big day with 4 plays running..

Very strong play on Redsox Over 7
Solid play on inflated line with TB U 55.5

And for the nhl, we are getting 2 dogs that have over a 60% chance to win by my projections in Nash and Ott...

I have a probability factor and advanced forecasting that I'm using to generate the plays..

You can expect a lot of dogs in the nhl this season and you can expect a lot of totals in football and basketball..

We can discuss things as we move along..

Welcome to my office, come in and sit awhile...
 
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Posted: #6
Great Idea!! One stop!!.
 
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Posted: #7
Thanks for your works and picks !! Bol 
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Thursday, big day with 4 plays running..

Very strong play on Redsox Over 7
Solid play on inflated line with TB U 55.5

And for the nhl, we are getting 2 dogs that have over a 60% chance to win by my projections in Nash and Ott...

I have a probability factor and advanced forecasting that I'm using to generate the plays..

You can expect a lot of dogs in the nhl this season and you can expect a lot of totals in football and basketball..

We can discuss things as we move along..

Welcome to my office, come in and sit awhile...


Nice looking office, Lawton! Been comfortable so far.

'Preciate the work. Should be even stronger returns the larger the data set, I'm guessing.
 
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Posted: #9
Thanks guys and thanks for stopping by and take that Winner with you (Boston Over 7), i tried to stress that it was a strong one.

Feel free to come by anytime and check back often for more projected Winners.


 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Thanks guys and thanks for stopping by and take that Winner with you (Boston Over 7), i tried to stress that it was a strong one.

Feel free to come by anytime and check back often for more projected Winners.




I cashed it...appreciate it.

May consider increasing the units.
 
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Posted: #11
Ok, so I banged your receptionist in the stock room but I thought you should know I didn't believe her and used protection...

Mucho Gracias amigo...
 
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Posted: #12
You the man!
 
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Posted: #13
Projections
NHL: 2-2 (+0.55 units)
NFL: 3-0 (+3.00 units)
MLB: 3-0 (+3.00 units)

Pending series wager
Cubs +110

Recording each play for one unit.

Will post plays for Friday Oct 6 soon.


 
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Posted: #14
Friday Oct 6

Cubs +150 (game 1)

Dodgers Over 7 (-110) (62.50%)

Islanders Over 5.5 (-110) (64.90%)


Pending series wager
Cubs +110

Good luck guys
 
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Posted: #15
Alright guys, lots of good Value on Cubs at +150 but I'm just not that all out Value guy.

Strong play on Isles Over 5.5, don't understand the line creeping lower, juice wise.

Have a good one guys..
 
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Posted: #16
Thanks for helping, are you off the cubs play?
 
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Posted: #17
No, I got it at +150.  Also on them for series.  I was pointing out that my system can identify perceived value I just don't know if I'm a value player..

On 3 plays tonight

Cubs +150
Dodgers O 7
Isles O 5.5


 
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Posted: #18
Will have CFB totals tomorrow.  I consider what I'm doing to be good at football and basketball totals.  
 
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Posted: #19
Can't believe we didn't sweep boys... How did that Islander game stay Under.

Back on Saturday...
 
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Projections
NHL: 2-3 (-0.45 units)
NFL: 3-0 (+3.00 units)
MLB: 5-0 (+5.50 units)
CFB: 0-0 (0.00 units)

Overall: 10-3 (+8.05 units)

All one unit plays

Saturday Oct 7

Virginia Under 52.5

MTSU Under 53.5

Navy Over 51

USC Over 57

Pending series wager
Cubs +110

Back later with the later starting games...



 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Projections
NHL: 2-3 (-0.45 units)
NFL: 3-0 (+3.00 units)
MLB: 5-0 (+5.50 units)
CFB: 0-0 (0.00 units)

Overall: 10-3 (+8.05 units)

All one unit plays

Saturday Oct 7

Virginia Under 52.5

MTSU Under 53.5

Navy Over 51

USC Over 57

Pending series wager
Cubs +110

Back later with the later starting games...





Let's roll, Lawton...Thanks.
 
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Posted: #22
Alright guys, October was my first month to use the Probability system to actually wager on game... Currently off to a 10-3 (77%) start, which is outstanding... I could have very easily been 12-1... Only real loss being the Preds. 

I'm trying to reduce the amount of wagers that I list.. I've never been a high volume player... I'll try and keep listing only the Highest Probability plays for you... 

I have 4 CFB totals up for today.. By my system, these were strong. I've worked up to the 6pm games... I'll list today's remaining card later today...


 
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Posted: #23
Here is my complete and final card for college football today... My probability system had these as 7 strong plays.

So. Miss Over 49.5

UTEP Under 54

Washington Over 52


Pending

Virginia Under 52.5
MTSU Under 53.5
Navy Over 51
USC Over 57


Each play for 1 unit....

Also pending series wager
Cubs +110

Passing on the 2 playoff games today and the early NHL game.. Back this afternoon with any NHL plays for tonight..

Big day for my Probability system, good luck if you follow..
 
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Posted: #24
Good job thus far Lawton. Goodluck today!
 
 
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Posted: #25
A 7 pack!!!
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