Posted:
#351
Weird...three nights in a row we like the same NBA game. Hopefully it is great minds think alike.
#followthenorthernstar
Lawton's Projections
Posted:
#353
Probability System
99-76 (+16.40 units)
56.57% Winners
(-109) avg juice
1 unit each
NHL: 39-27 (+9.70 units)
NFL: 12-11 (+0.20 units)
CFB: 21-15 (+4.60 units)
CBB: 4-3 (+0.70 units)
NBA: 14-14 (-1.90 units)
MLB: 9-6 (+3.10 units)
Nov 16
St. Johns Under 151.5
Arizona Over 142
Tennessee Titans +7
1 unit each
Posted:
#355
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:
Haven't posted my numbers in a while but I will for thursday nights games..
Haven't posted my numbers in a while but I will for thursday nights games..
Titans +7 (65.00% chance to cover)
St. Johns Under 151.5 (66.25%)
Arizona Over 142 (64.80%)
Let's see how these 3 do tonight....
Thanks for the picks!
Still wondering why don't you parlay.
Just looking at the bottom 2 that would give you a .4293 chance of winning.
For a 1 unit bet i win 2.65 units on the parlay which if my math is right gives about a 13 percent return on the investment.
(Big if I'm just learning the math of these things)
Posted:
#359
Probability System
103-78 (+18.20 units)
56.91% Winners
(-109) avg juice
1 unit each
NHL: 39-27 (+9.70 units) 59%
CFB: 21-15 (+4.60 units) 58%
CBB: 8-4 (+3.60 units) 67%
NFL: 12-12 (-0.90 units) 50%
NBA: 14-14 (-1.90 units) 50%
MLB: 9-6 (+3.10 units) 60%
November 18
Michigan Over 41 (CFB)
Texas Tech Over 52.5 (CFB)
Boston College Under 145 (CBB)
Going to be a very busy day... Do not get destroyed on days like this..
I will probably have 2 more release times today, check back if interested.
I am 48 days and 181 plays into this project.... I'm just about where I expected to be... I've made over 18 units of profit in those 48 days, on 1 unit plays only... That's pretty damn good and quite a bit of money in my pocket as I play 2.5% of bankroll on each play..
Back with another release, check back...
Posted:
#363
I am starting to really hate to have more than 3 plays pending at any one time... I know this is just an opinion of mine but I like to err on the side of conservatism and caution... Nothing worse mentally than the big loss days, for me that is... This is one way I've survived in this biz, almost daily since August 1986.... U must protect your bankroll at all times, if you are going to be successful in this.. U must be around for tomorrows games...
I'll release 3 plays soon....
Posted:
#371
3DTV
That's tough to answer on the fly... The 2 games you mentioned, u won both.. Unfortunately with CBB totals that won't always be the case... Those numbers can move fast...
Of course I play them before I post them.., I don't really have a set answer, just use your own discretion...I can tell you that I've had some really good season in CBB, especially with totals...
Posted:
#374
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:
Hopefully I get the NHL back on track today..
Hopefully I get the NHL back on track today..
I must remember with the NHL, don't over analyze things and things are not always what them seem..
Good luck today guys
I agree, over-analysing is never a good thing, and this goes for all sports i.m.o.
if you have to over-analyse a game, don`t, just stay away, pick your spots pick your games,
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