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Lawton's Projections

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Posted: #26
Thanks guys

Probability in simple terms is the likelihood that an event will occur..

Probability System
10-3 (+8.05 units)
76.92% Winners
All 1 unit plays

Pending for Saturday 

Virginia Under 52.5
MTSU Under 53.5
Navy Over 51
USC Over 57
S Miss Over 49.5
UTEP Under 54
Wash Over 52

Today is the first day that I've used the Probability system to wager on college football.  Things have been going well, I hope they continue. 

Pending series wager
Cubs +110

Hopefully this will be a longterm success, check back later for 2 high probability NHL plays for tonight.
 
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Posted: #27
Adding for Sat Oct 7

Ottawa -135

LA Kings +125

One unit each..
 
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Posted: #28
There will be no more plays for Saturday Oct 7..

Check back soon for tomorrows NFL card... There is a potential of 5 strong Totals...


 
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Posted: #29
Probability System
15-7 (+8.65 units)
68.18% Winners
All plays 1 unit

NHL: 3-4 (-0.55 units)
MLB: 5-0 (+5.50 units)
NFL: 3-0 (+3.00 units)
CFB: 4-3 (+0.70 units)

Coming off a 4-3 Saturday, in which I lose an Ottawa shootout once again.. 0-2 in shootouts now... 

On to Sunday, plays posted soon..
 
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Posted: #30
Sunday Oct 8

Giants Under 45
Bengals Under 40
Cowboys Under 53
Texans Over 45

Cleveland Over 8 (-120)

Pending series wager
Cubs +110

All plays for 1 unit

Correction Saturday was 5-4 (+0.60 units)

No additions for sunday


 
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Posted: #31
Tailing 100%, thank you for sharing!  
 
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Posted: #32
Best to you

The Texans total has dropped to 44 with my local.. I'll be pushing one more bet on this, count it as a separate 1unit bet..

Adding

Texans Over 44 (-110) (69%)
I have this as a very strong play..

Back for Mondays plays


 
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Posted: #33
Probability System
18-10 (+8.25 units)
64.29% winners

Nhl: 3-4 (-0.55 units)
MLB: 5-1 (+4.30 units)
NFL: 6-2 (+3.80 units)
CFB: 4-3 (+0.70 units)

Monday

Houston -115
Morton/Porcello must go
63.00% chance to win

Pending series wager
Cubs +110

All plays one unit

Back Monday afternoon with an evening card
 
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Posted: #34
Adding for Monday Oct 9

Arizona +100
Listed 

Capitals Over 5.5 (-110)
66.50% strong play

1 unit each
 
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Posted: #35
Probability System
20-11 (+9.25 units)
64.52% Winners
All plays 1 unit

NHL: 4-4 (+0.45 units)
MLB: 6-2 (+4.30 units)
NFL: 6-2 (+3.80 units)
CFB: 4-3 (+0.70 units)

Pending Series wager
Cubs +110


I'll post a Top NHL play for tonight, later today.

Probability (the likelihood that an event will occur) or in our case an outcome will occur. 
 
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Posted: #36
October 10

Nashville -145 (65.20%)

All plays one unit... 


 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

October 10

Nashville -145 (65.20%) 

All plays one unit... 



Thank you for sharing. 
 
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Posted: #38
Tuesday night, not how I expected it but a Win is a Win..
 
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Probability System
21-11 (+10.25 units)
65.63% Winners
All plays 1 unit

NHL: 5-4 (+1.45 units)
MLB: 6-2 (+4.30 units)
NFL: 6-2 (+3.80 units)
CFB: 4-3 (+0.70 units)

Pending Series Wager
Cubs +110

Check back later today for a Top NHL play from my Probability System.

Probability (the likelihood that an outcome will occur)
 
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Posted: #40
Wednesday Oct 11

Pending series wager
Cubs +110

Wednesday night

Colorado +110
63.60%
Strong play for a dog


All plays 1 unit


 
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Posted: #41
Looks like I'll have 3 strong plays for Thursday night....
 
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Posted: #42
Probability System
22-11 (+11.35 units)
66.70% winners
All plays one unit

I'll break down by individual sports tomorrow. 

Pending Series wager
Cubs +110

Thursday Oct 12

Redwings +100

Carolina Under 45.5

Texas St Over 54.5

All 1 unit plays



 
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Posted: #43
Great call on Colorado. Let Boston back in only to finish strong. Thanks for sharing brother.
 
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Posted: #44
No problem, hope to run the daily thread for a long time... Sort of a proof of concept that I'm working on... Hoping to have hit on a Super System, using probability, advanced forecasting and power ratings. 
 
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Posted: #45
Probability System
24-13 (+11.25 units)
64.86% Winners
All 1 unit plays

NHL: 7-4 (+3.55 units)
MLB: 7-2 (+5.40 units)
NFL: 6-3 (+2.70 units)
CFB: 4-4 (-0.40 units)

Plays for Friday 13th will be posted later
 
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Posted: #46
Plays for Friday 13th

Columbus -145

Yankees Over 8 (-105)

1 unit each

(F)
 
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Posted: #47
Are you going to have CFB or NFL picks this weekend? How soon before game time do you know your picks?  Again thank you for sharing.
 
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Posted: #48

peace_5

“It’s not a lie, if you believe it”
 
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Posted: #49
Sure, I'll have the football totals this weekend and we should have a good Saturday.  I always view Saturdays as 2 betting days. I'll post a card Saturday morning for the day games and another Saturday afternoon for the evening games. I've always had an 8 day betting week.  
 
 
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Posted: #50
nice work L1
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