All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

Lawton's Projections

...
Participants:
Search
Views: 59138
Posts: 408
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2017
Posts: 35
Posted: #276
Hey Lawton just curious why don't you post the odds on sports other than hockey?

Just curious!

Thanks!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #277
If I don't post the odds, they are always the standard (-110).. I thought that was assumed..
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2015
Posts: 652
Posted: #278

Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Nov 8Tampa Bay +110Orlando Under 217Eastern Michigan Over 511 unit each

Magic game drops to 213.... thoughts?

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #279
Sorry, late responding to this. Looks like it stayed Under the 213... NBA continues its climb back to the Mean... 57.14% is what I use as the Mean and for those of you, who really know about this biz, that is a fantastic MEAN...
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #280

Slow and steady wins the race. Let's keep inching along. Thx for everything! peace_5

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #281
Probability System
83-60 (+18.15 units)
58.04% Winners
(-108) average juice
1 unit each

NHL: 37-21 (+14.35 units)
NFL: 12-9 (+2.50 units)
MLB: 9-6 (+3.10 units)
CFB: 15-13 (+0.80 units)
NBA: 10-11 (-2.60 units)

Back later with plays for Thursday Nov 9
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #282
I don't play many futures but occasionally I'll roll with one.. FWIW and off the record, I just played Mich St (7:1) to win CBB national championship... 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #283
November 9

Philadelphia -115

Vancouver +120

Denver Under 216

1 unit each
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 12908
Posted: #284
Letting it ride on VAN. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #285

Shooting the middle again. Over 106.5 Question? How much does one tend to risk on middling? 25% of original wager or 50%?

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2017
Posts: 53
Posted: #286
You don’t middle is the answer.  Now your just gambling instead of handicapping
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #287
Probability System
85-61 (+19.15 units)
58.22% Winners
(-108) average juice
1 unit each

NHL: 38-22 (+14.35 units)
NFL: 12-9 (+2.50 units)
MLB: 9-6 (+3.10 units)
CFB: 15-13 (+0.80 units)
NBA: 11-11 (-1.60 units)
CBB: 0-0 (0.00 units)

Middling for me (with how I'm doing this) would never be an option..

Back soon with Fridays card
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #288
November 10

Florida Over 5.5 (-120) NHL

Spurs Over 204 NBA

Duke Over 155 CBB

1 unit each

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #289
Probability System
86-63 (+17.85 units)
57.72% Winners
(-108) average juice
1 unit each

NHL: 38-23 (+13.15 units)
NFL: 12-9 (+2.50 units)
MLB: 9-6 (+3.10 units)
CFB: 15-13 (+0.80 units)
CBB: 1-0 (+1.00 units)
NBA: 11-12 (-2.70 units)

Nov 11 (release 1)

UCF Over 63.5 (CFB)
BC Over 52 (CFB)
So. Carolina -5.5 (CFB)

I will have an afternoon card and an evening card, check back later.


 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #290
I usually can tell where the record will go, from past results.

First 100 plays
60-40

Next 49 plays
26-23

I anticipate a record of
31-20 over the next 51 plays, to complete the 200 plays

This would leave me at 117-83 over the first 200 plays... I highly anticipate the record to be within 2 games of this, either way..

Keep this in mind, if your following or fading.. 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2015
Posts: 652
Posted: #291
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:



UCF Over 63.5 (CFB)
BC Over 52 (CFB)
So. Carolina -5.5 (CFB)

I will have an afternoon card and an evening card, check back later.




Three "nooners." Let's ride.

Thanks, Lawton.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #292
Pending Nov 11

Central Florida Over 63.5
Boston College Over 52
So. Carolina -5.5


Adding Nov 11

Florida Atlantic -4.5 (CFB)

Wisconsin Over 44 (CFB)

Bradley Under 143 (CBB)

1 unit each

There will be a night card released later today
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #293

Is the delayed release because your waiting for line movenent/injury reports?

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #294
Nope, its because I haven't looked at the evening games yet... 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #295

Another middle opportunity with Bradley. 0-2 So far. Seeing 75 for 2nd with total at 47 after 1 half.

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2015
Posts: 652
Posted: #296
Quote Originally Posted by 3DTV:

Another middle opportunity with Bradley. 0-2 So far. Seeing 75 for 2nd with total at 47 after 1 half.



3D...see No. 288, above...or, consider your winning percentage.

Jus' sayin'.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #297

Quote Originally Posted by JamieR44:

QUOTE Originally Posted by 3DTV: Another middle opportunity with Bradley. 0-2 So far. Seeing 75 for 2nd with total at 47 after 1 half. 3D...see No. 288, above...or, consider your winning percentage.Jus' sayin'.
I disagree with 288 as you are locking in a for sure win with 1 of the bets with a shot at winning both. Doesn't sound like gambling.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2017
Posts: 4315
Posted: #298
If you disagree why are you constantly in his thread begging for his plays to be released?
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #299
Probability System
89-64 (+19.75 units)
58.17% Winners
(-108) avg juice
1 unit each

NHL: 38-23 (+13.15 units)
NFL: 12-9 (+2.50 units)
MLB: 9-6 (+3.10 units)
CFB: 17-14 (+1.70 units)
CBB: 2-0 (+2.00 units)
NBA: 11-12 (-2.70 units)

Pending Nov 11

Wisconsin Over 44
Florida Atl -4.5

Adding Nov 11

Philadelphia (-130) NHL

Milwaukee Under 217 (NBA)

TCU +6.5 (CFB)

1 unit each

Running 3-1 so far on Saturday... These were the early finals today.. College BB will be light for a while, I'm running on my preseason setups... 


 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #300
You guys know of a system that can hit a minimum of 57.14% Winners, against a (-110) line, over the long run.. If I can pull this off, I should have around 105 plays monthly, worth over 10 units of profit. Then it boils down to building the base wager and being able to get down the bets... I hope I'm well on my way to accomplishing this.
All Forums | NHL Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.